Financial Market Trend Forecasting and Performance Analysis Using LSTM

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2004.01502v1
• Date: Tue, 31 Mar 2020 01:30:36 GMT
• Title: Financial Market Trend Forecasting and Performance Analysis Using LSTM
• Authors: Jonghyeon Min
• Abstract summary: We propose a financial market trend forecasting method using LSTM and analyze the performance with existing financial market trend forecasting methods through experiments. In this paper, we experiment and compare performances of existing financial market trend forecasting models, and performance according to the financial market environment.
• Score: 0.0
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of neural network-based financial market trend prediction has attracted much attention. However, previous researches do not deal with the financial market forecasting method based on LSTM which has good performance in time series data. There is also a lack of comparative analysis in the performance of neural network-based prediction techniques and traditional prediction techniques. In this paper, we propose a financial market trend forecasting method using LSTM and analyze the performance with existing financial market trend forecasting methods through experiments. This method prepares the input data set through the data preprocessing process so as to reflect all the fundamental data, technical data and qualitative data used in the financial data analysis, and makes comprehensive financial market analysis through LSTM. In this paper, we experiment and compare performances of existing financial market trend forecasting models, and performance according to the financial market environment. In addition, we implement the proposed method using open sources and platform and forecast financial market trends using various financial data indicators.

Related papers

• Large Language Models for Financial Aid in Financial Time-series Forecasting [0.4218593777811082]
  Time series forecasting in financial aid is difficult due to limited historical datasets and high dimensional financial information. We use state-of-the-art time series models including pre-trained LLMs (GPT-2 as the backbone), transformers, and linear models to demonstrate their ability to outperform traditional approaches.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-10-24T12:41:47Z)
• Predicting Stock Prices with FinBERT-LSTM: Integrating News Sentiment Analysis [2.7921137693344384]
  We use deep learning networks, based on the history of stock prices and articles of financial, business, technical news that introduce market information to predict stock prices. We developed a pre-trained NLP model known as FinBERT, designed to discern the sentiments within financial texts. This model utilizes news categories related to the stock market structure hierarchy, namely market, industry, and stock related news categories, combined with the stock market's stock price situation in the previous week for prediction.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-07-23T03:26:07Z)
• AlphaFin: Benchmarking Financial Analysis with Retrieval-Augmented Stock-Chain Framework [48.3060010653088]
  We release AlphaFin datasets, combining traditional research datasets, real-time financial data, and handwritten chain-of-thought (CoT) data. We then use AlphaFin datasets to benchmark a state-of-the-art method, called Stock-Chain, for effectively tackling the financial analysis task.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-03-19T09:45:33Z)
• PIXIU: A Large Language Model, Instruction Data and Evaluation Benchmark for Finance [63.51545277822702]
  PIXIU is a comprehensive framework including the first financial large language model (LLMs) based on fine-tuning LLaMA with instruction data. We propose FinMA by fine-tuning LLaMA with the constructed dataset to be able to follow instructions for various financial tasks. We conduct a detailed analysis of FinMA and several existing LLMs, uncovering their strengths and weaknesses in handling critical financial tasks.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-06-08T14:20:29Z)
• Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models [51.3422222472898]
  We document the capability of large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT to predict stock price movements using news headlines. We develop a theoretical model incorporating information capacity constraints, underreaction, limits-to-arbitrage, and LLMs.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-04-15T19:22:37Z)
• Bayesian Bilinear Neural Network for Predicting the Mid-price Dynamics in Limit-Order Book Markets [84.90242084523565]
  Traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level interactions driving the price dynamics. By adopting a state-of-the-art second-order optimization algorithm, we train a Bayesian bilinear neural network with temporal attention. By addressing the use of predictive distributions to analyze errors and uncertainties associated with the estimated parameters and model forecasts, we thoroughly compare our Bayesian model with traditional ML alternatives.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2022-03-07T18:59:54Z)
• Low-Rank Temporal Attention-Augmented Bilinear Network for financial time-series forecasting [93.73198973454944]
  Deep learning models have led to significant performance improvements in many problems coming from different domains, including prediction problems of financial time-series data. The Temporal Attention-Augmented Bilinear network was recently proposed as an efficient and high-performing model for Limit Order Book time-series forecasting. In this paper, we propose a low-rank tensor approximation of the model to further reduce the number of trainable parameters and increase its speed.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-07-05T10:15:23Z)
• Financial Markets Prediction with Deep Learning [11.26482563151052]
  We propose a novel one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (CNN) model to predict financial market movement. The customized one-dimensional convolutional layers scan financial trading data through time, while different types of data, such as prices and volume, share parameters ( Kernels) with each other. Our model automatically extracts features instead of using traditional technical indicators.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-04-05T19:36:48Z)
• Interpretable ML-driven Strategy for Automated Trading Pattern Extraction [2.7910505923792646]
  We propose a volume-based data pre-processing method for financial time series analysis. We use a statistical approach for assessing the performance of the method. Our analysis shows that the proposed method allows successful classification of the financial time series patterns.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-03-23T09:55:46Z)
• Gaussian process imputation of multiple financial series [71.08576457371433]
  Multiple time series such as financial indicators, stock prices and exchange rates are strongly coupled due to their dependence on the latent state of the market. We focus on learning the relationships among financial time series by modelling them through a multi-output Gaussian process.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-02-11T19:18:18Z)

This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.

This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.