Short-term forecast of EV charging stations occupancy probability using
big data streaming analysis
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2104.12503v1
- Date: Mon, 26 Apr 2021 12:03:02 GMT
- Title: Short-term forecast of EV charging stations occupancy probability using
big data streaming analysis
- Authors: Francesca Soldan, Enea Bionda, Giuseppe Mauri, Silvia Celaschi
- Abstract summary: This paper presents an architecture able to deal with data streams from a charging infrastructure.
The final aim is to forecast electric charging station availability after a set amount of minutes from present time.
The streaming model performs better than a model trained only using historical data.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: The widespread diffusion of electric mobility requires a contextual expansion
of the charging infrastructure. An extended collection and processing of
information regarding charging of electric vehicles may turn each electric
vehicle charging station into a valuable source of streaming data. Charging
point operators may profit from all these data for optimizing their operation
and planning activities. In such a scenario, big data and machine learning
techniques would allow valorizing real-time data coming from electric vehicle
charging stations. This paper presents an architecture able to deal with data
streams from a charging infrastructure, with the final aim to forecast electric
charging station availability after a set amount of minutes from present time.
Both batch data regarding past charges and real-time data streams are used to
train a streaming logistic regression model, to take into account recurrent
past situations and unexpected actual events. The streaming model performs
better than a model trained only using historical data. The results highlight
the importance of constantly updating the predictive model parameters in order
to adapt to changing conditions and always provide accurate forecasts.
Related papers
- Tackling Data Heterogeneity in Federated Time Series Forecasting [61.021413959988216]
Time series forecasting plays a critical role in various real-world applications, including energy consumption prediction, disease transmission monitoring, and weather forecasting.
Most existing methods rely on a centralized training paradigm, where large amounts of data are collected from distributed devices to a central cloud server.
We propose a novel framework, Fed-TREND, to address data heterogeneity by generating informative synthetic data as auxiliary knowledge carriers.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-24T04:56:45Z) - Location based Probabilistic Load Forecasting of EV Charging Sites: Deep Transfer Learning with Multi-Quantile Temporal Convolutional Network [1.49199020343864]
This article presents a location-based load forecasting of EV charging sites using a deep Multi-Quantile Temporal Convolutional Network (MQ-TCN)
We conducted experiments on data from four charging sites, namely, Caltech, JPL, Office-1, and NREL, which have diverse EV user types.
Our proposed deep MQ-TCN model exhibited a remarkable 28.93% improvement over the XGBoost model for a day-ahead load forecasting at the JPL charging site.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-18T10:34:48Z) - Physics-guided Active Sample Reweighting for Urban Flow Prediction [75.24539704456791]
Urban flow prediction is a nuanced-temporal modeling that estimates the throughput of transportation services like buses, taxis and ride-driven models.
Some recent prediction solutions bring remedies with the notion of physics-guided machine learning (PGML)
We develop a atized physics-guided network (PN), and propose a data-aware framework Physics-guided Active Sample Reweighting (P-GASR)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-18T15:44:23Z) - Divide-Conquer Transformer Learning for Predicting Electric Vehicle Charging Events Using Smart Meter Data [4.820576346277399]
We develop a home charging prediction method using historical smart meter data.
We achieve consistently high accuracy of over 96.81% across different prediction time spans.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-20T02:17:16Z) - Rethinking Urban Mobility Prediction: A Super-Multivariate Time Series
Forecasting Approach [71.67506068703314]
Long-term urban mobility predictions play a crucial role in the effective management of urban facilities and services.
Traditionally, urban mobility data has been structured as videos, treating longitude and latitude as fundamental pixels.
In our research, we introduce a fresh perspective on urban mobility prediction.
Instead of oversimplifying urban mobility data as traditional video data, we regard it as a complex time series.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-04T07:39:05Z) - Pre-training on Synthetic Driving Data for Trajectory Prediction [61.520225216107306]
We propose a pipeline-level solution to mitigate the issue of data scarcity in trajectory forecasting.
We adopt HD map augmentation and trajectory synthesis for generating driving data, and then we learn representations by pre-training on them.
We conduct extensive experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of our data expansion and pre-training strategies.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-18T19:49:22Z) - Benchmarks and Custom Package for Energy Forecasting [55.460452605056894]
Energy forecasting aims to minimize the cost of subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch.
In this paper, we collected large-scale load datasets and released a new renewable energy dataset.
We conducted extensive experiments with 21 forecasting methods in these energy datasets at different levels under 11 evaluation metrics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-07-14T06:50:02Z) - Predicting Future Occupancy Grids in Dynamic Environment with
Spatio-Temporal Learning [63.25627328308978]
We propose a-temporal prediction network pipeline to generate future occupancy predictions.
Compared to current SOTA, our approach predicts occupancy for a longer horizon of 3 seconds.
We publicly release our grid occupancy dataset based on nulis to support further research.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-05-06T13:45:32Z) - Defining a synthetic data generator for realistic electric vehicle
charging sessions [6.37470346908743]
Electric vehicle (EV) charging stations have become prominent in electricity grids in the past years.
Yet, the limited availability of such EV sessions data hinders further development in these fields.
We develop a synthetic data generator for EV charging sessions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-28T11:18:40Z) - Deep Information Fusion for Electric Vehicle Charging Station Occupancy
Forecasting [0.966840768820136]
This paper introduces a novel Deep Fusion of Dynamic and Static Information model (DFDS)
We exploit static information, such as the mean occupation concerning the time of day, to learn the specific charging station patterns.
Our model efficiently fuses dynamic and static information to facilitate accurate forecasting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-08-27T15:30:45Z) - Deep Spatio-Temporal Forecasting of Electrical Vehicle Charging Demand [19.155018449068645]
Electric vehicles can offer a low carbon emission solution to reverse rising emission trends.
To meet this requirement, accurate forecasting of the charging demand is vital.
We propose to use publicly available data to forecast the electric vehicle charging demand.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-21T09:20:24Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.