NBA2Vec: Dense feature representations of NBA players
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2302.13386v1
- Date: Sun, 26 Feb 2023 19:05:57 GMT
- Title: NBA2Vec: Dense feature representations of NBA players
- Authors: Webster Guan, Nauman Javed, Peter Lu
- Abstract summary: We present NBA2Vec, a neural network model based on Word2Vec which extracts dense feature representations of each player.
NBA2Vec accurately predicts the outcomes to various 2017 NBA Playoffs series.
Future applications of NBA2Vec embeddings to characterize players' style may revolutionize predictive models for player acquisition and coaching decisions.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Understanding a player's performance in a basketball game requires an
evaluation of the player in the context of their teammates and the opposing
lineup. Here, we present NBA2Vec, a neural network model based on Word2Vec
which extracts dense feature representations of each player by predicting play
outcomes without the use of hand-crafted heuristics or aggregate statistical
measures. Specifically, our model aimed to predict the outcome of a possession
given both the offensive and defensive players on the court. By training on
over 3.5 million plays involving 1551 distinct players, our model was able to
achieve a 0.3 K-L divergence with respect to the empirical play-by-play
distribution. The resulting embedding space is consistent with general
classifications of player position and style, and the embedding dimensions
correlated at a significant level with traditional box score metrics. Finally,
we demonstrate that NBA2Vec accurately predicts the outcomes to various 2017
NBA Playoffs series, and shows potential in determining optimal lineup
match-ups. Future applications of NBA2Vec embeddings to characterize players'
style may revolutionize predictive models for player acquisition and coaching
decisions that maximize team success.
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