LLM-POTUS Score: A Framework of Analyzing Presidential Debates with Large Language Models
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2409.08147v1
- Date: Thu, 12 Sep 2024 15:40:45 GMT
- Title: LLM-POTUS Score: A Framework of Analyzing Presidential Debates with Large Language Models
- Authors: Zhengliang Liu, Yiwei Li, Oleksandra Zolotarevych, Rongwei Yang, Tianming Liu,
- Abstract summary: This paper introduces a novel approach to evaluating presidential debate performances using large language models.
We propose a framework that analyzes candidates' "Policies, Persona, and Perspective" (3P) and how they resonate with the "Interests, Ideologies, and Identity" (3I) of four key audience groups.
Our method employs large language models to generate the LLM-POTUS Score, a quantitative measure of debate performance.
- Score: 33.251235538905895
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Large language models have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in natural language processing, yet their application to political discourse analysis remains underexplored. This paper introduces a novel approach to evaluating presidential debate performances using LLMs, addressing the longstanding challenge of objectively assessing debate outcomes. We propose a framework that analyzes candidates' "Policies, Persona, and Perspective" (3P) and how they resonate with the "Interests, Ideologies, and Identity" (3I) of four key audience groups: voters, businesses, donors, and politicians. Our method employs large language models to generate the LLM-POTUS Score, a quantitative measure of debate performance based on the alignment between 3P and 3I. We apply this framework to analyze transcripts from recent U.S. presidential debates, demonstrating its ability to provide nuanced, multi-dimensional assessments of candidate performances. Our results reveal insights into the effectiveness of different debating strategies and their impact on various audience segments. This study not only offers a new tool for political analysis but also explores the potential and limitations of using LLMs as impartial judges in complex social contexts. In addition, this framework provides individual citizens with an independent tool to evaluate presidential debate performances, which enhances democratic engagement and reduces reliance on potentially biased media interpretations and institutional influence, thereby strengthening the foundation of informed civic participation.
Related papers
- Benchmarking LLMs for Political Science: A United Nations Perspective [34.000742556609126]
Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved significant advances in natural language processing, yet their potential for high-stake political decision-making remains largely unexplored.
This paper addresses the gap by focusing on the application of LLMs to the United Nations (UN) decision-making process.
We introduce a novel dataset comprising publicly available UN Security Council (UNSC) records from 1994 to 2024, including draft resolutions, voting records, and diplomatic speeches.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-19T21:51:01Z) - ElectionSim: Massive Population Election Simulation Powered by Large Language Model Driven Agents [70.17229548653852]
We introduce ElectionSim, an innovative election simulation framework based on large language models.
We present a million-level voter pool sampled from social media platforms to support accurate individual simulation.
We also introduce PPE, a poll-based presidential election benchmark to assess the performance of our framework under the U.S. presidential election scenario.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-28T05:25:50Z) - Large Language Models Reflect the Ideology of their Creators [71.65505524599888]
Large language models (LLMs) are trained on vast amounts of data to generate natural language.
This paper shows that the ideological stance of an LLM appears to reflect the worldview of its creators.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-24T04:02:30Z) - Towards More Accurate US Presidential Election via Multi-step Reasoning with Large Language Models [12.582222782098587]
Election prediction poses unique challenges, such as limited voter-level data, rapidly changing political landscapes, and the need to model complex human behavior.
We introduce a multi-step reasoning framework designed for political analysis.
Our approach is validated on real-world data from the American National Election Studies (ANES) 2016 and 2020.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-21T06:18:53Z) - Representation Bias in Political Sample Simulations with Large Language Models [54.48283690603358]
This study seeks to identify and quantify biases in simulating political samples with Large Language Models.
Using the GPT-3.5-Turbo model, we leverage data from the American National Election Studies, German Longitudinal Election Study, Zuobiao dataset, and China Family Panel Studies.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-16T05:52:26Z) - Can LLMs Help Predict Elections? (Counter)Evidence from the World's Largest Democracy [3.0915192911449796]
The study of how social media affects the formation of public opinion and its influence on political results has been a popular field of inquiry.
We introduce a new method: harnessing the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) to examine social media data and forecast election outcomes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-13T15:13:23Z) - Political Compass or Spinning Arrow? Towards More Meaningful Evaluations for Values and Opinions in Large Language Models [61.45529177682614]
We challenge the prevailing constrained evaluation paradigm for values and opinions in large language models.
We show that models give substantively different answers when not forced.
We distill these findings into recommendations and open challenges in evaluating values and opinions in LLMs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-26T18:00:49Z) - Inducing Political Bias Allows Language Models Anticipate Partisan
Reactions to Controversies [5.958974943807783]
This study addresses the challenge of understanding political bias in digitized discourse using Large Language Models (LLMs)
We present a comprehensive analytical framework, consisting of Partisan Bias Divergence Assessment and Partisan Class Tendency Prediction.
Our findings reveal the model's effectiveness in capturing emotional and moral nuances, albeit with some challenges in stance detection.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-16T08:57:53Z) - Revisiting the Reliability of Psychological Scales on Large Language Models [62.57981196992073]
This study aims to determine the reliability of applying personality assessments to Large Language Models.
Analysis of 2,500 settings per model, including GPT-3.5, GPT-4, Gemini-Pro, and LLaMA-3.1, reveals that various LLMs show consistency in responses to the Big Five Inventory.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-31T15:03:28Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.