Barrier Certificates for Unknown Systems with Latent States and Polynomial Dynamics using Bayesian Inference
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2504.01807v1
- Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2025 15:12:34 GMT
- Title: Barrier Certificates for Unknown Systems with Latent States and Polynomial Dynamics using Bayesian Inference
- Authors: Robert Lefringhausen, Sami Leon Noel Aziz Hanna, Elias August, Sandra Hirche,
- Abstract summary: This paper proposes a novel approach for synthesizing barrier certificates for unknown systems.<n>A prior in state-space representation is updated using input-output data via a targeted marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler.<n>It is shown that if the candidate satisfies the required conditions on a test set of additional samples, it is also valid for the true, unknown system with high probability.
- Score: 3.0839725524711774
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Certifying safety in dynamical systems is crucial, but barrier certificates - widely used to verify that system trajectories remain within a safe region - typically require explicit system models. When dynamics are unknown, data-driven methods can be used instead, yet obtaining a valid certificate requires rigorous uncertainty quantification. For this purpose, existing methods usually rely on full-state measurements, limiting their applicability. This paper proposes a novel approach for synthesizing barrier certificates for unknown systems with latent states and polynomial dynamics. A Bayesian framework is employed, where a prior in state-space representation is updated using input-output data via a targeted marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The resulting samples are used to construct a candidate barrier certificate through a sum-of-squares program. It is shown that if the candidate satisfies the required conditions on a test set of additional samples, it is also valid for the true, unknown system with high probability. The approach and its probabilistic guarantees are illustrated through a numerical simulation.
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