Hall Effect Thruster Forecasting using a Topological Approach for Data Assimilation
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2504.06157v1
- Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2025 15:52:50 GMT
- Title: Hall Effect Thruster Forecasting using a Topological Approach for Data Assimilation
- Authors: Max M. Chumley, Firas A. Khasawneh,
- Abstract summary: Hall Effect Thrusters (HETs) are electric thrusters that eject heavy ionized gas particles from the spacecraft to generate thrust.<n>They have been used for interplanetary space missions due to their high delta-V potential and their operational longevity.<n>We show how TADA can be combined with the Long Short-Term Memory network for accurate forecasting.
- Score: 0.4972323953932129
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Hall Effect Thrusters (HETs) are electric thrusters that eject heavy ionized gas particles from the spacecraft to generate thrust. Although traditionally they were used for station keeping, recently They have been used for interplanetary space missions due to their high delta-V potential and their operational longevity in contrast to other thrusters, e.g., chemical. However, the operation of HETs involves complex processes such as ionization of gases, strong magnetic fields, and complicated solar panel power supply interactions. Therefore, their operation is extremely difficult to model thus necessitating Data Assimilation (DA) approaches for estimating and predicting their operational states. Because HET's operating environment is often noisy with non-Gaussian sources, this significantly limits applicable DA tools. We describe a topological approach for data assimilation that bypasses these limitations that does not depend on the noise model, and utilize it to forecast spatiotemporal plume field states of HETs. Our approach is a generalization of the Topological Approach for Data Assimilation (TADA) method that allows including different forecast functions. We show how TADA can be combined with the Long Short-Term Memory network for accurate forecasting. We then apply our approach to high-fidelity Hall Effect Thruster (HET) simulation data from the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) rocket propulsion division where we demonstrate the forecast resiliency of TADA on noise contaminated, high-dimensional data.
Related papers
- Accurate and Efficient Hybrid-Ensemble Atmospheric Data Assimilation in Latent Space with Uncertainty Quantification [20.877039031702605]
We propose a three-dimensional hybrid-ensemble DA method that operates in an atmospheric latent space learned via an autoencoder (AE)<n>HLOBA maps both model forecasts and observations into a shared latent space via the AE encoder and an end-to-end Observation-to-Latent-space mapping network (O2Lnet)<n> Experiments show that this uncertainty highlights large-error regions and captures their seasonal variability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-04T18:58:27Z) - TRAKNN: Efficient Trajectory Aware Spatiotemporal kNN for Rare Meteorological Trajectory Detection [0.0]
Extreme weather events, such as windstorms and heatwaves, are driven by persistent atmospheric circulation patterns.<n>We propose TRAKNN, a fully unsupervised and data-agnostic framework for detecting geometrically rare short trajectories in-temporal data.<n>We evaluate our approach on 75 years of daily European sea-level pressure data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-02T16:49:02Z) - Function-Space Decoupled Diffusion for Forward and Inverse Modeling in Carbon Capture and Storage [65.51149575007149]
We present Fun-DDPS, a generative framework that combines function-space diffusion models with differentiable neural operator surrogates for both forward and inverse modeling.<n>Fun-DDPS produces physically consistent realizations free from the high-frequency artifacts observed in joint-state baselines.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-12T18:58:12Z) - Forecasting Thermospheric Density with Transformers for Multi-Satellite Orbit Management [41.99844472131922]
This work presents a transformer-based model that forecasts densities up to three days ahead.<n>It avoids spatial reduction and complex input pipelines, operating directly on a compact input set.<n>It is validated on real-world data and shows potential to support mission planning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-11-08T19:02:14Z) - Gridded Transformer Neural Processes for Large Unstructured Spatio-Temporal Data [47.14384085714576]
We introduce gridded pseudo-tokenPs to handle unstructured observations and a processor containing gridded pseudo-tokens that leverage efficient attention mechanisms.
Our method consistently outperforms a range of strong baselines on various synthetic and real-world regression tasks involving large-scale data.
The real-life experiments are performed on weather data, demonstrating the potential of our approach to bring performance and computational benefits when applied at scale in a weather modelling pipeline.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-09T10:00:56Z) - Advances in Land Surface Model-based Forecasting: A comparative study of LSTM, Gradient Boosting, and Feedforward Neural Network Models as prognostic state emulators [4.852378895360775]
We evaluate the efficiency of three surrogate models in speeding up experimental research by simulating land surface processes.
Our findings indicate that while all models on average demonstrate high accuracy over the forecast period, the LSTM network excels in continental long-range predictions when carefully tuned.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-23T13:26:05Z) - Observation-Guided Meteorological Field Downscaling at Station Scale: A
Benchmark and a New Method [66.80344502790231]
We extend meteorological downscaling to arbitrary scattered station scales and establish a new benchmark and dataset.
Inspired by data assimilation techniques, we integrate observational data into the downscaling process, providing multi-scale observational priors.
Our proposed method outperforms other specially designed baseline models on multiple surface variables.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-22T14:02:56Z) - Context-Aware Generative Models for Prediction of Aircraft Ground Tracks [0.004807514276707785]
Trajectory prediction plays an important role in supporting the decision-making of Air Traffic Controllers.
Traditional TP methods are deterministic and physics-based, with parameters calibrated using aircraft surveillance data harvested across the world.
This work proposes a generative method for lateral TP, using probabilistic machine learning to model the effect of the unknown effect of pilot behaviour and ATCO intentions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-26T14:20:09Z) - Efficient Real-time Smoke Filtration with 3D LiDAR for Search and Rescue
with Autonomous Heterogeneous Robotic Systems [56.838297900091426]
Smoke and dust affect the performance of any mobile robotic platform due to their reliance on onboard perception systems.
This paper proposes a novel modular computation filtration pipeline based on intensity and spatial information.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-14T16:48:57Z) - Spherical Fourier Neural Operators: Learning Stable Dynamics on the
Sphere [53.63505583883769]
We introduce Spherical FNOs (SFNOs) for learning operators on spherical geometries.
SFNOs have important implications for machine learning-based simulation of climate dynamics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-06-06T16:27:17Z) - Environmental Sensor Placement with Convolutional Gaussian Neural
Processes [65.13973319334625]
It is challenging to place sensors in a way that maximises the informativeness of their measurements, particularly in remote regions like Antarctica.
Probabilistic machine learning models can suggest informative sensor placements by finding sites that maximally reduce prediction uncertainty.
This paper proposes using a convolutional Gaussian neural process (ConvGNP) to address these issues.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-18T17:25:14Z) - Data-Driven Wind Turbine Wake Modeling via Probabilistic Machine
Learning [0.0]
We use real-world light detection and ranging (LiDAR) measurements of wind-turbine wakes to construct predictive surrogate models using machine learning.
We find that our approach provides accurate approximations of the wind-turbine wake flow field that can be queried at an orders-of-magnitude cheaper cost than those generated with high-fidelity physics-based simulations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-09-06T14:46:20Z) - Learning the structure of wind: A data-driven nonlocal turbulence model
for the atmospheric boundary layer [0.0]
We develop a novel data-driven approach to modeling the atmospheric boundary layer.
This approach leads to a nonlocal, anisotropic synthetic turbulence model which we refer to as the deep rapid distortion (DRD) model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-07-23T06:41:33Z) - Lidar Light Scattering Augmentation (LISA): Physics-based Simulation of
Adverse Weather Conditions for 3D Object Detection [60.89616629421904]
Lidar-based object detectors are critical parts of the 3D perception pipeline in autonomous navigation systems such as self-driving cars.
They are sensitive to adverse weather conditions such as rain, snow and fog due to reduced signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and signal-to-background ratio (SBR)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-07-14T21:10:47Z) - A Spatial-Temporal Attentive Network with Spatial Continuity for
Trajectory Prediction [74.00750936752418]
We propose a novel model named spatial-temporal attentive network with spatial continuity (STAN-SC)
First, spatial-temporal attention mechanism is presented to explore the most useful and important information.
Second, we conduct a joint feature sequence based on the sequence and instant state information to make the generative trajectories keep spatial continuity.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-03-13T04:35:50Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.