Suicidal Comment Tree Dataset: Enhancing Risk Assessment and Prediction Through Contextual Analysis
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2510.14395v1
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2025 07:47:03 GMT
- Title: Suicidal Comment Tree Dataset: Enhancing Risk Assessment and Prediction Through Contextual Analysis
- Abstract summary: This study investigates how the information in comment trees affects both the discrimination and prediction of users' suicidal risk levels.<n>We constructed a high-quality annotated dataset, sourced from Reddit, which incorporates users' posting history and comments.<n> Statistical analysis of the dataset, along with experimental results from Large Language Models (LLMs) experiments, demonstrates that incorporating comment trees data significantly enhances the discrimination and prediction of user suicidal risk levels.
- Score: 3.381709265589592
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Suicide remains a critical global public health issue. While previous studies have provided valuable insights into detecting suicidal expressions in individual social media posts, limited attention has been paid to the analysis of longitudinal, sequential comment trees for predicting a user's evolving suicidal risk. Users, however, often reveal their intentions through historical posts and interactive comments over time. This study addresses this gap by investigating how the information in comment trees affects both the discrimination and prediction of users' suicidal risk levels. We constructed a high-quality annotated dataset, sourced from Reddit, which incorporates users' posting history and comments, using a refined four-label annotation framework based on the Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale (C-SSRS). Statistical analysis of the dataset, along with experimental results from Large Language Models (LLMs) experiments, demonstrates that incorporating comment trees data significantly enhances the discrimination and prediction of user suicidal risk levels. This research offers a novel insight to enhancing the detection accuracy of at-risk individuals, thereby providing a valuable foundation for early suicide intervention strategies.
Related papers
- Ground Truths in Suicide Research: The Current State of AI-Based Suicide Detection in Social Media [11.132513648884258]
Recent advances in artificial intelligence have led to growing optimism about the ability to detect suicide risk at scale.<n>This article provides a synthesis of current research on AI-based suicide detection in social media.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-26T16:05:46Z) - Assessing the robustness of heterogeneous treatment effects in survival analysis under informative censoring [50.164756034797136]
Dropout is common in clinical studies, with up to half of patients leaving early due to side effects or other reasons.<n>When dropout is informative, it introduces censoring bias, because of which treatment effect estimates are also biased.<n>We propose an assumption-lean framework to assess the robustness of conditional average treatment effect estimates in survival analysis when facing censoring bias.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-15T10:51:17Z) - RSD-15K: A Large-Scale User-Level Annotated Dataset for Suicide Risk Detection on Social Media [0.0]
Social media is an important platform for individuals to express emotions and seek help.<n>This paper introduces a large-scale dataset containing 15,000 user-level posts.<n>Compared with existing datasets, this dataset retains complete user posting time sequence information.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-14T09:26:26Z) - SurvCORN: Survival Analysis with Conditional Ordinal Ranking Neural Network [4.772480981435387]
We propose SurvCORN, a novel method utilizing conditional ordinal ranking networks to predict survival curves directly.
We also introduce SurvMAE, a metric designed to evaluate the accuracy of model predictions in estimating time-to-event outcomes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-30T03:01:25Z) - Exploring Gender-Specific Speech Patterns in Automatic Suicide Risk Assessment [39.26231968260796]
This study involves a novel dataset comprising speech recordings of 20 patients who read neutral texts.
We extract four speech representations encompassing interpretable and deep features.
By applying gender-exclusive modelling, features extracted from an emotion fine-tuned wav2vec2.0 model can be utilised to discriminate high- from low- suicide risk with a balanced accuracy of 81%.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-26T12:51:28Z) - Bored to Death: Artificial Intelligence Research Reveals the Role of Boredom in Suicide Behavior [10.83380478033686]
This study aimed to harness AI methodologies to uncover hidden risk factors that trigger or aggravate suicide behaviors.
An almost fully automated, AI-guided research pipeline resulted in four Facebook topics that predicted the risk of suicide.
The study signals boredom as a maladaptive 'ingredient' that might trigger suicide behaviors, regardless of depression.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-22T10:16:02Z) - Non-Invasive Suicide Risk Prediction Through Speech Analysis [74.8396086718266]
We present a non-invasive, speech-based approach for automatic suicide risk assessment.
We extract three sets of features, including wav2vec, interpretable speech and acoustic features, and deep learning-based spectral representations.
Our most effective speech model achieves a balanced accuracy of $66.2,%$.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-18T12:33:57Z) - Interpretable Survival Analysis for Heart Failure Risk Prediction [50.64739292687567]
We propose a novel survival analysis pipeline that is both interpretable and competitive with state-of-the-art survival models.
Our pipeline achieves state-of-the-art performance and provides interesting and novel insights about risk factors for heart failure.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-24T02:56:05Z) - Contrastive Learning of Temporal Distinctiveness for Survival Analysis
in Electronic Health Records [10.192973297290136]
We propose a novel Ontology-aware Temporality-based Contrastive Survival (OTCSurv) analysis framework.
OTCSurv uses survival durations from both censored and observed data to define temporal distinctiveness.
We conduct experiments using a large EHR dataset to forecast the risk of hospitalized patients who are in danger of developing acute kidney injury (AKI)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-24T22:36:22Z) - Measuring the Effect of Influential Messages on Varying Personas [67.1149173905004]
We present a new task, Response Forecasting on Personas for News Media, to estimate the response a persona might have upon seeing a news message.
The proposed task not only introduces personalization in the modeling but also predicts the sentiment polarity and intensity of each response.
This enables more accurate and comprehensive inference on the mental state of the persona.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-25T21:01:00Z) - Am I No Good? Towards Detecting Perceived Burdensomeness and Thwarted
Belongingness from Suicide Notes [51.378225388679425]
We present an end-to-end multitask system to address a novel task of detection of Perceived Burdensomeness (PB) and Thwarted Belongingness (TB) from suicide notes.
We also introduce a manually translated code-mixed suicide notes corpus, CoMCEASE-v2.0, based on the benchmark CEASE-v2.0 dataset.
We exploit the temporal orientation and emotion information in the suicide notes to boost overall performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-05-20T06:31:08Z) - Enabling Counterfactual Survival Analysis with Balanced Representations [64.17342727357618]
Survival data are frequently encountered across diverse medical applications, i.e., drug development, risk profiling, and clinical trials.
We propose a theoretically grounded unified framework for counterfactual inference applicable to survival outcomes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-14T01:15:00Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.