From 'What-is' to 'What-if' in Human-Factor Analysis: A Post-Occupancy Evaluation Case

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2512.02060v1
• Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2025 21:16:33 GMT
• Title: From 'What-is' to 'What-if' in Human-Factor Analysis: A Post-Occupancy Evaluation Case
• Authors: Xia Chen, Ruiji Sun, Philipp Geyer, André Borrmann, Stefano Schiavon,
• Abstract summary: We advocate for explicitly distinguishing from interventional questions in human-factor analysis.<n>This approach disentangles complex variable relationships and enables counterfactual reasoning.<n>The systematic distinction between causally associated and independent variables, combined with intervention prioritization capabilities, offers broad applicability.
• Score: 1.305327014930352
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
• Abstract: Human-factor analysis typically employs correlation analysis and significance testing to identify relationships between variables. However, these descriptive ('what-is') methods, while effective for identifying associations, are often insufficient for answering causal ('what-if') questions. Their application in such contexts often overlooks confounding and colliding variables, potentially leading to bias and suboptimal or incorrect decisions. We advocate for explicitly distinguishing descriptive from interventional questions in human-factor analysis, and applying causal inference frameworks specifically to these problems to prevent methodological mismatches. This approach disentangles complex variable relationships and enables counterfactual reasoning. Using post-occupancy evaluation (POE) data from the Center for the Built Environment's (CBE) Occupant Survey as a demonstration case, we show how causal discovery reveals intervention hierarchies and directional relationships that traditional associational analysis misses. The systematic distinction between causally associated and independent variables, combined with intervention prioritization capabilities, offers broad applicability to complex human-centric systems, for example, in building science or ergonomics, where understanding intervention effects is critical for optimization and decision-making.

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