Sepsis Prediction Using Graph Convolutional Networks over Patient-Feature-Value Triplets
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05416v1
- Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2025 04:30:48 GMT
- Title: Sepsis Prediction Using Graph Convolutional Networks over Patient-Feature-Value Triplets
- Authors: Bozhi Dan, Di Wu, Ji Xu, Xiang Liu, Yiziting Zhu, Xin Shu, Yujie Li, Bin Yi,
- Abstract summary: We propose Triplet-GCN, a single-branch graph convolutional model that represents each encounter as patient--feature--value triplets.<n>We learn patient embeddings via a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) followed by a lightweight multilayer perceptron (MLP)
- Score: 10.151360630975482
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: In the intensive care setting, sepsis continues to be a major contributor to patient illness and death; however, its timely detection is hindered by the complex, sparse, and heterogeneous nature of electronic health record (EHR) data. We propose Triplet-GCN, a single-branch graph convolutional model that represents each encounter as patient--feature--value triplets, constructs a bipartite EHR graph, and learns patient embeddings via a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) followed by a lightweight multilayer perceptron (MLP). The pipeline applies type-specific preprocessing -- median imputation and standardization for numeric variables, effect coding for binary features, and mode imputation with low-dimensional embeddings for rare categorical attributes -- and initializes patient nodes with summary statistics, while retaining measurement values on edges to preserve "who measured what and by how much". In a retrospective, multi-center Chinese cohort (N = 648; 70/30 train--test split) drawn from three tertiary hospitals, Triplet-GCN consistently outperforms strong tabular baselines (KNN, SVM, XGBoost, Random Forest) across discrimination and balanced error metrics, yielding a more favorable sensitivity--specificity trade-off and improved overall utility for early warning. These findings indicate that encoding EHR as triplets and propagating information over a patient--feature graph produce more informative patient representations than feature-independent models, offering a simple, end-to-end blueprint for deployable sepsis risk stratification.
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