Surprisal and Metaphor Novelty: Moderate Correlations and Divergent Scaling Effects
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2601.02015v2
- Date: Thu, 08 Jan 2026 18:27:27 GMT
- Title: Surprisal and Metaphor Novelty: Moderate Correlations and Divergent Scaling Effects
- Abstract summary: This study investigates whether surprisal, a probabilistic measure of predictability in language models, correlates with metaphor novelty datasets.<n>We analyse surprisal from 16 LM variants on corpus-based and synthetic metaphor novelty datasets.
- Score: 9.85813493536013
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Novel metaphor comprehension involves complex semantic processes and linguistic creativity, making it an interesting task for studying language models (LMs). This study investigates whether surprisal, a probabilistic measure of predictability in LMs, correlates with different metaphor novelty datasets. We analyse surprisal from 16 LM variants on corpus-based and synthetic metaphor novelty datasets. We explore a cloze-style surprisal method that conditions on full-sentence context. Results show that LMs yield significant moderate correlations with scores/labels of metaphor novelty. We further identify divergent scaling patterns: on corpus-based data, correlation strength decreases with model size (inverse scaling effect), whereas on synthetic data it increases (Quality-Power Hypothesis). We conclude that while surprisal can partially account for annotations of metaphor novelty, it remains a limited metric of linguistic creativity.
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