End-to-end data-driven prediction of urban airflow and pollutant dispersion

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.17606v1
• Date: Wed, 18 Mar 2026 11:19:13 GMT
• Title: End-to-end data-driven prediction of urban airflow and pollutant dispersion
• Abstract summary: This study targets to develop fast and accurate models of urban pollutant dispersion to support decision-makers.<n>An end-to-end data-driven approach is proposed to model and predict the airflow and pollutant dispersion in a street canyon in skimming flow regime.<n>The results demonstrate the efficacy of the model in predicting the instantaneous as well as statistically stationary fields over long time horizon.
• Score: 1.3874486202578666
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: Climate change and the rapid growth of urban populations are intensifying environmental stresses within cities, making the behavior of urban atmospheric flows a critical factor in public health, energy use, and overall livability. This study targets to develop fast and accurate models of urban pollutant dispersion to support decision-makers, enabling them to implement mitigation measures in a timely and cost-effective manner. To reach this goal, an end-to-end data-driven approach is proposed to model and predict the airflow and pollutant dispersion in a street canyon in skimming flow regime. A series of time-resolved snapshots obtained from large eddy simulation (LES) serves as the database. The proposed framework is based on four fundamental steps. Firstly, a reduced basis is obtained by spectral proper orthogonal decomposition (SPOD) of the database. The projection of the time series snapshot data onto the SPOD modes (time-domain approach) provides the temporal coefficients of the dynamics. Secondly, a nonlinear compression of the temporal coefficients is performed by autoencoder to reduce further the dimensionality of the problem. Thirdly, a reduced-order model (ROM) is learned in the latent space using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) netowrks. Finally, the pollutant dispersion is estimated from the predicted velocity field through convolutional neural network that maps both fields. The results demonstrate the efficacy of the model in predicting the instantaneous as well as statistically stationary fields over long time horizon.

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