CN-Buzz2Portfolio: A Chinese-Market Dataset and Benchmark for LLM-Based Macro and Sector Asset Allocation from Daily Trending Financial News
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22305v1
- Date: Wed, 18 Mar 2026 02:31:28 GMT
- Title: CN-Buzz2Portfolio: A Chinese-Market Dataset and Benchmark for LLM-Based Macro and Sector Asset Allocation from Daily Trending Financial News
- Abstract summary: Large Language Models (LLMs) are rapidly transitioning from static Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks to acting as dynamic decision-making agents.<n>Direct live trading is irreproducible and prone to outcome bias by confounding luck with skill, whereas existing static benchmarks are often confined to entity-level stock picking and ignore broader market attention.<n>This work provides new insights into the alignment between general reasoning and financial decision-making, and all data, codes, and experiments are released to promote sustainable financial agent research.
- Score: 21.498084305999992
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
- Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) are rapidly transitioning from static Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks including sentiment analysis and event extraction to acting as dynamic decision-making agents in complex financial environments. However, the evolution of LLMs into autonomous financial agents faces a significant dilemma in evaluation paradigms. Direct live trading is irreproducible and prone to outcome bias by confounding luck with skill, whereas existing static benchmarks are often confined to entity-level stock picking and ignore broader market attention. To facilitate the rigorous analysis of these challenges, we introduce CN-Buzz2Portfolio, a reproducible benchmark grounded in the Chinese market that maps daily trending news to macro and sector asset allocation. Spanning a rolling horizon from 2024 to mid-2025, our dataset simulates a realistic public attention stream, requiring agents to distill investment logic from high-exposure narratives instead of pre-filtered entity news. We propose a Tri-Stage CPA Agent Workflow involving Compression, Perception, and Allocation to evaluate LLMs on broad asset classes such as Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) rather than individual stocks, thereby reducing idiosyncratic volatility. Extensive experiments on nine LLMs reveal significant disparities in how models translate macro-level narratives into portfolio weights. This work provides new insights into the alignment between general reasoning and financial decision-making, and all data, codes, and experiments are released to promote sustainable financial agent research.
Related papers
- Same Claim, Different Judgment: Benchmarking Scenario-Induced Bias in Multilingual Financial Misinformation Detection [64.75447949495307]
Large language models (LLMs) have been widely applied across various domains of finance.<n> behavioral biases can lead to instability and uncertainty in decision-making.<n>mfmdscen is a benchmark for evaluating behavioral biases in mfmd across diverse economic scenarios.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-08T22:00:32Z) - LiveTradeBench: Seeking Real-World Alpha with Large Language Models [26.976122048323873]
Large language models (LLMs) achieve strong performance across benchmarks.<n>These tests occur in static settings, lacking real dynamics and uncertainty.<n>We introduce LiveTradeBench, a live trading environment for evaluating LLM agents in realistic and evolving markets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-11-05T16:47:26Z) - StockBench: Can LLM Agents Trade Stocks Profitably In Real-world Markets? [44.10622904101254]
Large language models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated strong capabilities as autonomous agents.<n>We introduce StockBench, a benchmark designed to evaluate LLM agents in realistic, multi-month stock trading environments.<n>Our evaluation shows that while most LLM agents struggle to outperform the simple buy-and-hold baseline, several models demonstrate the potential to deliver higher returns and manage risk more effectively.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-02T16:54:57Z) - Your AI, Not Your View: The Bias of LLMs in Investment Analysis [62.388554963415906]
In finance, Large Language Models (LLMs) face frequent knowledge conflicts arising from discrepancies between their pre-trained parametric knowledge and real-time market data.<n>These conflicts are especially problematic in real-world investment services, where a model's inherent biases can misalign with institutional objectives.<n>We propose an experimental framework to investigate emergent behaviors in such conflict scenarios, offering a quantitative analysis of bias in investment analysis.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-28T16:09:38Z) - Time Travel is Cheating: Going Live with DeepFund for Real-Time Fund Investment Benchmarking [14.366119135730512]
Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated notable capabilities across financial tasks.<n>Their real-world effectiveness in managing complex fund investment remains inadequately assessed.<n>We introduce DeepFund, a live fund benchmark tool designed to rigorously evaluate LLM in real-time market conditions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-16T10:00:56Z) - Will LLMs be Professional at Fund Investment? DeepFund: A Live Arena Perspective [10.932591941137698]
Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities across various domains, but their effectiveness in financial decision-making remains inadequately evaluated.<n>We introduce DeepFund, a comprehensive arena platform for evaluating LLM-based trading strategies in a live environment.<n>Our approach implements a multi-agent framework where they serve as multiple key roles that realize the real-world investment decision processes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-24T03:32:13Z) - Agent Trading Arena: A Study on Numerical Understanding in LLM-Based Agents [69.58565132975504]
Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in natural language tasks.<n>We present the Agent Trading Arena, a virtual zero-sum stock market in which LLM-based agents engage in competitive multi-agent trading.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-25T08:41:01Z) - When AI Meets Finance (StockAgent): Large Language Model-based Stock Trading in Simulated Real-world Environments [55.19252983108372]
We have developed a multi-agent AI system called StockAgent, driven by LLMs.
The StockAgent allows users to evaluate the impact of different external factors on investor trading.
It avoids the test set leakage issue present in existing trading simulation systems based on AI Agents.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-15T06:49:30Z) - Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models [48.87381259980254]
We document the capability of large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT to predict stock market reactions from news headlines without direct financial training.<n>Using post-knowledge-cutoff headlines, GPT-4 captures initial market responses, achieving approximately 90% portfolio-day hit rates for the non-tradable initial reaction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-15T19:22:37Z) - Reinforcement-Learning based Portfolio Management with Augmented Asset
Movement Prediction States [71.54651874063865]
Portfolio management (PM) aims to achieve investment goals such as maximal profits or minimal risks.
In this paper, we propose SARL, a novel State-Augmented RL framework for PM.
Our framework aims to address two unique challenges in financial PM: (1) data Heterogeneous data -- the collected information for each asset is usually diverse, noisy and imbalanced (e.g., news articles); and (2) environment uncertainty -- the financial market is versatile and non-stationary.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-02-09T08:10:03Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.