Information-Theoretic Requirements for Gradient-Based Task Affinity Estimation in Multi-Task Learning
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.07848v1
- Date: Thu, 09 Apr 2026 06:02:26 GMT
- Title: Information-Theoretic Requirements for Gradient-Based Task Affinity Estimation in Multi-Task Learning
- Abstract summary: Multi-task learning shows strikingly inconsistent results.<n>Standard benchmarks systematically violate this requirement.<n>This provides the first principled explanation for seven years of inconsistent MTL results.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Multi-task learning shows strikingly inconsistent results -- sometimes joint training helps substantially, sometimes it actively harms performance -- yet the field lacks a principled framework for predicting these outcomes. We identify a fundamental but unstated assumption underlying gradient-based task analysis: tasks must share training instances for gradient conflicts to reveal genuine relationships. When tasks are measured on the same inputs, gradient alignment reflects shared mechanistic structure; when measured on disjoint inputs, any apparent signal conflates task relationships with distributional shift. We discover this sample overlap requirement exhibits a sharp phase transition: below 30% overlap, gradient-task correlations are statistically indistinguishable from noise; above 40%, they reliably recover known biological structure. Comprehensive validation across multiple datasets achieves strong correlations and recovers biological pathway organization. Standard benchmarks systematically violate this requirement -- MoleculeNet operates at <5% overlap, TDC at 8-14% -- far below the threshold where gradient analysis becomes meaningful. This provides the first principled explanation for seven years of inconsistent MTL results.
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