Hubble: An LLM-Driven Agentic Framework for Safe, Diverse, and Reproducible Alpha Factor Discovery

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.09601v2
• Date: Tue, 14 Apr 2026 05:41:22 GMT
• Title: Hubble: An LLM-Driven Agentic Framework for Safe, Diverse, and Reproducible Alpha Factor Discovery
• Abstract summary: We present Hubble, an agentic factor mining framework that combines large language models (LLMs) with a domain-specific operator language.<n>On a U.S. equity universe of roughly 500 stocks, our main run evaluates 104 valid candidates across three rounds with zero runtime crashes.<n>We then fix the resulting top-5 factors and validate them on a held-out period from 2025-06-01 to 2026-03-13.
• Score: 0.0
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
• Abstract: Automated alpha discovery is difficult because the search space of formulaic factors is combinatorial, the signal-to-noise ratio in daily equity data is low, and unconstrained program generation is operationally unsafe. We present Hubble, an agentic factor mining framework that combines large language models (LLMs) with a domain-specific operator language, an abstract syntax tree (AST) execution sandbox, a dual-channel retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) module, and a family-aware selection mechanism. Instead of treating the LLM as an unconstrained code generator, Hubble restricts generation to interpretable operator trees, evaluates every candidate through a deterministic cross-sectional pipeline, and feeds back both top formulas and structured family-level diagnostics to subsequent rounds. The current system additionally introduces positive/negative RAG, formula-similarity penalties, standardized multi-metric scoring, dual reporting of RankIC and Pearson IC, and persistent diagnostics artifacts for post-hoc research analysis. On a U.S. equity universe of roughly 500 stocks, our main run evaluates 104 valid candidates across three rounds with zero runtime crashes and discovers a top set dominated by range, volatility, and trend families rather than crowded volume-only motifs. We then fix the resulting top-5 factors and validate them on a held-out period from 2025-06-01 to 2026-03-13. In this out-of-sample window, the two range factors and two volatility factors remain positive and several achieve HAC-significant Pearson IC and long-short evidence, whereas the weakest in-sample trend factor decays materially. These results suggest that safe LLM-guided search can be upgraded from a syntax-compliant generator into a reproducible alpha-research workflow that jointly optimizes validity, diversity, interpretability, and family-level generalization.

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