TempusBench: An Evaluation Framework for Time-Series Forecasting
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.11529v2
- Date: Thu, 16 Apr 2026 16:57:53 GMT
- Title: TempusBench: An Evaluation Framework for Time-Series Forecasting
- Abstract summary: We introduce TempusBench, an open-source evaluation framework for time-series foundation models (TSFMs)<n>We see at least four major issues impeding progress on the development of such a framework.<n>We provide access to our code on GitHub: https://github.com/Smlcrm/TempusBench.
- Score: 36.738682337273104
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: Foundation models have transformed natural language processing and computer vision, and a rapidly growing literature on time-series foundation models (TSFMs) seeks to replicate this success in forecasting. While recent open-source models demonstrate the promise of TSFMs, the field lacks a comprehensive and community-accepted model evaluation framework. We see at least four major issues impeding progress on the development of such a framework. First, existing evaluation frameworks comprise benchmark forecasting tasks derived from often outdated datasets (e.g., M3), many of which lack clear metadata and overlap with the corpora used to pre-train TSFMs. Second, these frameworks evaluate models along a narrowly defined set of benchmark forecasting tasks, such as forecast horizon length or domain, but overlook core statistical properties such as non-stationarity and seasonality. Third, domain-specific models (e.g., XGBoost) are often compared unfairly, as existing frameworks do not enforce a systematic and consistent hyperparameter tuning convention for all models. Fourth, visualization tools for interpreting comparative performance are lacking. To address these issues, we introduce TempusBench, an open-source evaluation framework for TSFMs. TempusBench consists of 1) new datasets which are not included in existing TSFM pretraining corpora, 2) a set of novel benchmark tasks that go beyond existing ones, 3) a model evaluation pipeline with a standardized hyperparameter tuning protocol, and 4) a tensorboard-based visualization interface. We provide access to our code on GitHub: https://github.com/Smlcrm/TempusBench and maintain a live leaderboard at https://benchmark.smlcrm.com/.
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