Diffusion Sequence Models for Generative In-Context Meta-Learning of Robot Dynamics
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13366v2
- Date: Mon, 20 Apr 2026 14:01:36 GMT
- Title: Diffusion Sequence Models for Generative In-Context Meta-Learning of Robot Dynamics
- Abstract summary: We formulate system identification as an in-context meta-learning problem.<n>We compare deterministic and generative sequence models for forward dynamics prediction.<n>Results highlight generative meta-models as a promising direction for robust system identification in robotics.
- Score: 1.6441639841508602
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Accurate modeling of robot dynamics is essential for model-based control, yet remains challenging under distributional shifts and real-time constraints. In this work, we formulate system identification as an in-context meta-learning problem and compare deterministic and generative sequence models for forward dynamics prediction. We take a Transformer-based meta-model, as a strong deterministic baseline, and introduce to this setting two complementary diffusion-based approaches: (i) inpainting diffusion (Diffuser), which learns the joint input-observation distribution, and (ii) conditioned diffusion models (CNN and Transformer), which generate future observations conditioned on control inputs. Through large-scale randomized simulations, we analyze performance across in-distribution and out-of-distribution regimes, as well as computational trade-offs relevant for control. We show that diffusion models significantly improve robustness under distribution shift, with inpainting diffusion achieving the best performance in our experiments. Finally, we demonstrate that warm-started sampling enables diffusion models to operate within real-time constraints, making them viable for control applications. These results highlight generative meta-models as a promising direction for robust system identification in robotics.
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