KairosAgent: Agentic Time Series Forecasting with Fused Semantic Reasoning
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30002v1
- Date: Thu, 28 May 2026 14:32:48 GMT
- Title: KairosAgent: Agentic Time Series Forecasting with Fused Semantic Reasoning
- Abstract summary: Cross-domain multimodal time series forecasting is a challenging task, requiring models to integrate precise numerical comprehension, cross-domain semantic understanding, and effective multimodal fusion.<n>Existing approaches either build Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) from scratch or leverage pretrained Large Language Models (LLMs)<n>We propose KairosAgent, a novel agentic framework for multimodal time series forecasting, including an LLM-based reasoner and a TSFM-based forecaster.
- Score: 25.103984906343328
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Cross-domain multimodal time series forecasting is a challenging task, requiring models to integrate precise numerical comprehension, cross-domain semantic understanding, and effective multimodal fusion. Existing approaches either build Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) from scratch or leverage pretrained Large Language Models (LLMs). However, TSFMs often overlook semantic understanding and lack the ability to perform future-oriented semantic reasoning, and LLMs struggle with numerical comprehension and accurate quantitative forecasting. To overcome these limitations, we propose KairosAgent, a novel agentic framework for multimodal time series forecasting, including an LLM-based reasoner and a TSFM-based forecaster. KairosAgent unifies textual reasoning and numerical forecasting by dynamically invoking analytical tools to enhance the numerical understanding and semantic reasoning capabilities of LLMs. The reasoning results are subsequently fused into the TSFM pipeline, enabling more accurate and reliable future predictions. To further improve the reasoning, we curate a large-scale corpus of high-quality trajectories, alongside a reinforcement learning from forecasting paradigm with multi-turn refinement and turn-level credit assignment. Experiments demonstrate that KairosAgent achieves superior zero-shot forecasting performance while maximizing the utility of pretrained LLMs and TSFMs, presenting a promising direction for efficient and interpretable time series agents. The project page is at https://foundation-model-research.github.io/KairosAgent .
Related papers
- MetaCaster: Meta-Harness-Optimized Agent for End-to-End Few-Shot Learning of Lightweight Time Series Forecasters [86.78565015172455]
Time series forecasting (TSF) is evolving toward multimodal and agentic settings.<n>We propose MetaCaster, a meta-harness-optimized multi-agent framework to automatically train specialized lightweight forecasters.<n>Our work highlights a new TSF paradigm in which agents act not as forecasters but as intermediary engineers.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-08-24T16:40:25Z) - Distribution-Aware Diffusion-LLM for Robust Ultra-Long-Term Time Series Forecasting [8.2867621159451]
Time series forecasting is a fundamental machine learning task.<n>Recent work has explored Large Language Models (LLMs) for this purpose due to their strong generalization, pattern recognition, and zero-shot or few-shot capabilities.<n>We propose a new framework Diffusion-LLM that integrates a conditional diffusion model into an LLM-based forecasting pipeline.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-06-22T14:18:28Z) - Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting [30.02814339453953]
We argue for a multimodal time-series forecasting approach that post-trains LLMs to act as context-guided revisors over strong numerical TSFM priors.<n>We introduce PostTime, a post-training recipe combining Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and Supervisement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR)<n>We evaluate this approach on the TimesX multimodal forecasting benchmark using a Gemma-3-4B LLM and TimesFM-2.5 TSFM.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-28T05:52:28Z) - Nexus : An Agentic Framework for Time Series Forecasting [72.73790673303154]
Time series forecasting requires reasoning with unstructured contextual data such as news or events.<n>We introduce Nexus, a multi-agent forecasting framework that decomposes prediction into specialized stages.<n>We show that current-generation LLMs possess substantially stronger intrinsic forecasting ability than previously recognized.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-14T05:12:13Z) - LEAF: A Living Benchmark for Event-Augmented Forecasting [78.94019460534442]
LEAF is the first living benchmark for event-augmented forecasting tasks.<n>We evaluate state-of-the-art proprietary and open-weight LLMs.<n>We find that LLMs achieve better performance on equities they confidently identify as more predictable.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-09T03:17:59Z) - Reasoning-Aware Training for Time Series Forecasting [44.62309170542093]
Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at numerical forecasting but operate as black boxes lacking qualitative reasoning.<n>Applying text tokenizers directly to temporal data introduces a modality gap: text tokenizers fragment continuous numerical values, degrading mathematical relationships and exploding sequence lengths.<n>We introduce STRIDE (Strategic Time-series Reasoning Injected via Distilled Embeddings)<n>Instead of discrete tokens, STRIDE distills reasoning traces into a lightweight LLM, dynamically projecting its mean-pooled hidden states as a cross-modal prior into the target numerical encoder.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-09T02:41:47Z) - CastFlow: Learning Role-Specialized Agentic Workflows for Time Series Forecasting [74.29761960394848]
We propose CastFlow, a dynamic agentic forecasting framework for large language models (LLMs)<n>CastFlow organizes the forecasting process into planning, action, forecasting, and reflection, establishing an agentic workflow.<n>Third, CastFlow adopts a role-specialized design that combines general-purpose reasoning with specialized numerical forecasting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-30T13:24:42Z) - Insight-V++: Towards Advanced Long-Chain Visual Reasoning with Multimodal Large Language Models [65.4947731385794]
We present a unified multi-agent visual reasoning framework that evolves from our foundational image-centric model, Insight-V.<n>We introduce two novel algorithms, ST-GRPO and J-GRPO, which enhance spatial-temporal reasoning and improve evaluative robustness.<n>Experiments on base models like LLaVA-NeXT and Qwen2.5-VL demonstrate significant performance gains across challenging image and video reasoning benchmarks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-18T15:28:07Z) - Time Series Forecasting as Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforced LLMs [12.295608604703117]
Time-R1 is a two-stage reinforcement fine-tuning framework designed to enhance multi-step reasoning ability of LLMs for time series forecasting.<n>Specifically, the first stage conducts supervised fine-tuning for warmup adaptation, while the second stage employs reinforcement learning to improve the model's generalization ability.<n> Experiments demonstrate that Time-R1 significantly improves forecast performance across diverse datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-12T12:15:50Z) - TimeXL: Explainable Multi-modal Time Series Prediction with LLM-in-the-Loop [79.5773512667468]
TimeXL is a multi-modal prediction framework that integrates a prototype-based time series encoder with three collaborating Large Language Models.<n>A reflection LLM compares the predicted values against the ground truth, identifying textual inconsistencies or noise.<n>This closed-loop workflow-prediction, critique (reflect), and refinement-continuously boosts the framework's performance and interpretability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-02T20:40:53Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.