Business Utility of Large Language Models as Exploratory Data Analysis Agents
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2606.00051v1
- Date: Fri, 08 May 2026 08:23:10 GMT
- Title: Business Utility of Large Language Models as Exploratory Data Analysis Agents
- Abstract summary: Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used in analytical, but their suitability as exploratory data analysis (EDA) agents in business settings remains uncertain.<n>In practice, a deployable EDA agent must provide not only useful average performance but also sufficient repeatability to support trust in its outputs.<n>We evaluate this requirement in a controlled, business-relevant benchmark built on an agent-based supply chain simulation.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used in analytical workflows, but their suitability as exploratory data analysis (EDA) agents in business settings remains uncertain. In practice, a deployable EDA agent must provide not only useful average performance but also sufficient repeatability to support trust in its outputs. We evaluate this requirement in a controlled, business-relevant benchmark built on an agent-based supply chain simulation. The task is to identify supplier-product combinations responsible for low quality and downstream sales loss by reasoning from indirect operational traces rather than from explicit labels. Fifteen model-variant configurations from eight model families were evaluated under four experimental conditions that varied data representation, prompt clarity, and signal strength, with five trajectories per condition. Outputs were scored against deterministic ground truth using the Jaccard index and assessed through a framework that combines mean score (ms), coefficient of variation (CV), exploratory cross-condition significance tests, and Business utility, a risk-adjusted metric that we propose to summarise quality and repeatability in a single operational measure. The results show that most configurations are not reliable enough for autonomous EDA use, even when their average scores appear acceptable. GPT-5.4 with extra-high reasoning effort achieved the strongest overall profile, with an experiment-averaged ms of 0.8748 and an experiment-averaged Business utility of 0.6952, while the next-best configurations lost substantially more utility after variability discounting. Our findings suggest that evaluation of EDA agents should treat average quality, repeatability, and condition sensitivity as complementary dimensions of operational trustworthiness.
Related papers
- The Double Measurement Confound in Agent Benchmarks: De-Scaffolding, Ground-Truth Scoring, and Reliability Beyond the Mean [2.822987192839875]
Agent benchmarks are increasingly used to compare large language models (LLMs) and guide deployment decisions.<n>We identify a double measurement confound: execution-critical decisions are performed by a fixed scaffold instead of the model, while the scorer evaluates outputs using criteria that may not reflect task correctness.<n>We unify these issues within a measurement-theoretic framework that characterizes when benchmark scores can be interpreted as evidence of model capability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-09-06T21:23:11Z) - Vision-Language Models for Analog Gauge Reading: An Empirical Study of Specialization, Transfer and Reliability [3.112410411428948]
This study is a systematic evaluation of specialization, transfer, robustness and reliability for a general-purpose vision-language model (VLM)<n>The Qwen2.5-VL-7B-Instruct model is evaluated using zero-shot prompting, in-context learning (ICL) and parameter-efficient fine-tuning with Quantized Low-Rank Adaptation (QLoRA)<n>The best fine-tuned MPE values are 2.39% on the synthetic dataset, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.43-3.90%; 2.61% on the Pressure Gauge dataset, with a CI of 1.66-3.80%; and 4.4
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-08-18T12:47:14Z) - Stop Guessing When to Stop Testing: Efficient Model Evaluation with Just Enough Data [19.652133288960318]
We provide a principled way to navigate the trade-off between efficiency and reliability in model evaluation.<n>Our framework combines the established statistical paradigm of sequential testing with stopping criteria tailored to common evaluation needs.<n>We demonstrate its ability to adaptively manage the efficiency-reliability trade-off on the Open VLM Leaderboard.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-07-09T14:17:03Z) - From Signals to Transfer: A Factorised Study of Probe-Based Uncertainty Estimation in Large Language Models [51.470637128942336]
We propose a factorised study of probe-based uncertainty estimation (UE) under matched conditions.<n>Our results show that raw hidden states and attention features are difficult to outperform in-domain.<n>We train benchmark-based pretrained probes that transfer reasonably well to open-ended factual generation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-06-26T03:23:15Z) - Unsupervised Skill Discovery for Agentic Data Analysis [55.42853694128929]
DataCOPE is an unsupervised verifier-guided skill discovery framework for data-analytic agents.<n>It iteratively coordinates a Data-Analytic Agent for trajectory generation, an Unsupervised Verifier for signal extraction, and a Skill Manager for contrastive skill distillation.<n>We evaluate DataCOPE on report-style analysis from Deep Data Research and reasoning-style analysis from DABStep.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-06-04T17:20:47Z) - Rethinking XAI Evaluation: A Human-Centered Audit of Shapley Benchmarks in High-Stakes Settings [8.934085986179019]
Shapley values are a cornerstone of explainable AI, yet their proliferation into competing formulations has created a fragmented landscape.<n>We use a unified amortized framework to isolate semantic differences between eight Shapley variants.<n>Our results reveal a fundamental misalignment: standard quantitative metrics, such as sparsity and faithfulness, are decoupled from human-perceived clarity and decision utility.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-24T15:38:44Z) - OccuBench: Evaluating AI Agents on Real-World Professional Tasks via Language Environment Simulation [57.505743202759646]
OccuBench is a benchmark covering 100 real-world professional task scenarios across 10 industry categories and 65 specialized domains.<n>Our multi-agent synthesis pipeline automatically produces evaluation instances with guaranteed solvability, calibrated difficulty, and document-grounded diversity.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-13T00:27:32Z) - VI-CuRL: Stabilizing Verifier-Independent RL Reasoning via Confidence-Guided Variance Reduction [55.04308051033549]
Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a dominant paradigm for enhancing Large Language Models (LLMs) reasoning.<n>We introduceVerifier-Independent Curriculum Reinforcement Learning (VI-CuRL), a framework that leverages the model's intrinsic confidence to construct a curriculum independent from external verifiers.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-13T03:40:52Z) - Fault-Tolerant Evaluation for Sample-Efficient Model Performance Estimators [13.227055178509524]
We propose a fault-tolerant evaluation framework that integrates bias and variance considerations within an adjustable tolerance level.<n>We show that proper calibration of $varepsilon$ ensures reliable evaluation across different variance regimes.<n> Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that our framework provides comprehensive and actionable insights into estimator behavior.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-06T22:14:46Z) - Label Curation Using Agentic AI [3.500372926575144]
We present AURA, an agentic AI framework for large-scale, multi-modal data annotation.<n>AURA coordinates multiple AI agents to generate and validate labels without requiring ground truth.<n>AURA achieves accuracy improvements of up to 5.8% over baseline.<n>In more challenging settings with poor quality annotators, the improvement is up to 50% over baseline.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-30T18:58:52Z) - Replayable Financial Agents: A Determinism-Faithfulness Assurance Harness for Tool-Using LLM Agents [0.7699235580548228]
LLM agents struggle with regulatory audit replay: when asked to reproduce a transaction flagged decision with identical inputs, most deployments fail to return consistent results.<n>This paper introduces the DeterminismFaithfulness Assurance Harness (DFAH), a framework for measuring trajectory determinism and evidence-conditioned faithfulness in tool-using agents deployed in financial services.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-17T19:47:55Z) - Hierarchical Evaluation Function: A Multi-Metric Approach for Optimizing Demand Forecasting Models [0.479839492673697]
The Hierarchical Evaluation Function (HEF) is proposed as a multi-metric framework for hyperparameter optimization.<n>HEF integrates explanatory power (R2), sensitivity to extreme errors (RMSE), and average accuracy (MAE)<n>The performance of HEF was assessed using four widely recognized benchmark datasets in the forecasting domain.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-08-18T16:25:49Z) - OmniEAR: Benchmarking Agent Reasoning in Embodied Tasks [52.87238755666243]
We present OmniEAR, a framework for evaluating how language models reason about physical interactions, tool usage, and multi-agent coordination in embodied tasks.<n>We model continuous physical properties and complex spatial relationships across 1,500 scenarios spanning household and industrial domains.<n>Our systematic evaluation reveals severe performance degradation when models must reason from constraints.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-08-07T17:54:15Z) - Conservative Prediction via Data-Driven Confidence Minimization [70.93946578046003]
In safety-critical applications of machine learning, it is often desirable for a model to be conservative.
We propose the Data-Driven Confidence Minimization framework, which minimizes confidence on an uncertainty dataset.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-06-08T07:05:36Z) - Leveraging Unlabeled Data to Predict Out-of-Distribution Performance [63.740181251997306]
Real-world machine learning deployments are characterized by mismatches between the source (training) and target (test) distributions.
In this work, we investigate methods for predicting the target domain accuracy using only labeled source data and unlabeled target data.
We propose Average Thresholded Confidence (ATC), a practical method that learns a threshold on the model's confidence, predicting accuracy as the fraction of unlabeled examples.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-01-11T23:01:12Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.