Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2606.09191v1
- Date: Mon, 08 Jun 2026 08:26:37 GMT
- Title: Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards
- Abstract summary: $text-mathrmNPTS_mathrmSG$ is an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits.<n>We prove that $text-mathrmNPTS_mathrmSG$ achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $log n$.
- Score: 1.370633147306388
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: We prove that $ρ\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $ρ$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms. Both this result and its bounded-support counterpart require only continuity of $ρ$: strictly weaker than the dominance condition of prior parametric Thompson Sampling results, and strictly weaker than the Lipschitz condition of UCB-type algorithms, yielding the first instance-optimal guarantees for non-Lipschitz functionals such as the Sharpe ratio without parametric reward assumptions. The bounded-support case is developed first as a stepping stone sharing the same proof structure. The key technical contributions are a discretisation lemma (bounded support) and a truncated discretisation lemma (sub-Gaussian tails), each projecting the growing-alphabet Dirichlet posterior onto a fixed grid via the Dirichlet aggregation property, holding all polynomial prefactors at fixed degree independent of sample size and breaking the super-exponential barrier that blocked prior proofs.
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