Characterizing Heterogeneous Rates in Finite Mixture Estimation via Partial Optimal Transport
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2609.16622v1
- Date: Tue, 15 Sep 2026 04:32:53 GMT
- Title: Characterizing Heterogeneous Rates in Finite Mixture Estimation via Partial Optimal Transport
- Abstract summary: Voronoi-based partial optimal transport (VPOT) for obtaining refined local and global convergence guarantees for the maximum likelihood estimator of the mixing measure.<n>Results hold in arbitrary fixed dimension without requiring mixing proportions to be uniformly bounded away from zero or prior knowledge of the true number of mixture components.
- Score: 88.55403215843967
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Parameter estimation in finite mixture models can exhibit highly heterogeneous convergence behavior: locally isolated components may be estimated substantially faster than groups of competing components. Existing analyses based on Wasserstein distances typically characterize only the worst-case rate and therefore do not fully capture this local heterogeneity. In this paper, we introduce a Voronoi-based partial optimal transport (VPOT) framework for obtaining refined local and global convergence guarantees for the maximum likelihood estimator of the mixing measure. The key geometric idea is to localize the comparison of two mixing measures to extended Voronoi neighborhoods and use partial optimal transport to accommodate the unequal masses of their local restrictions. Within each neighborhood, the first-order POT discrepancy is raised to a power determined by the number of locally competing atoms, allowing the resulting loss to adapt to the local degree of singularity. Under suitable regularity and strong identifiability conditions, we establish uniform local and global upper bounds for a maximum likelihood estimator under the VPOT loss. These bounds reveal a configuration-dependent form of parameter estimation: less singular local configurations admit faster convergence, whereas the most singular configuration recovers the classical worst-case behavior characterized by Wasserstein-based analyses. We further establish a minimax lower bound showing that the convergence rate for estimating the mixing measure under the VPOT loss is optimal. Our results hold in arbitrary fixed dimension without requiring mixing proportions to be uniformly bounded away from zero or prior knowledge of the true number of mixture components. Overall, VPOT provides a configuration-adaptive framework for capturing heterogeneous parameter-estimation behavior in finite mixture models.
Related papers
- Data-Driven, Geometry-Aware Optimal-Transport Calibration of Flavor Tagger [0.0]
Flavor-tagging calibrations are often provided either as scale factors measured at a finite set of working points or as binned corrections to a chosen one-dimensional discriminant.<n>This approach falls short of providing continuous, event-level calibration across the full multicomponent outputs of modern taggers.<n>We propose a geometry-aware framework that formulates flavor-tagger calibration as an optimal transport problem on the probability simplex.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-02T10:16:13Z) - Beyond Consistency: Inference for the Relative risk functional in Deep Nonparametric Cox Models [7.2275111013288535]
It is unclear how Cox-based optimization error propagates to population risk under partial likelihood.<n>It is also unclear how pointwise bias can be controlled, and how ensemble-based uncertainty behaves under realistic variance regimes.<n>We develop an distribution theory for deep Cox estimators that addresses these issues.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-25T01:43:12Z) - Co-optimization for Adaptive Conformal Prediction [9.881784717196675]
We propose a framework that learns prediction intervals by jointly optimizing a center $m(x)$ and a radius $h(x)$.<n>Experiments on synthetic and real benchmarks demonstrate that CoCP yields consistently shorter intervals and achieves state-of-the-art conditional-coverage diagnostics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-02T10:43:19Z) - Stability and Generalization of Push-Sum Based Decentralized Optimization over Directed Graphs [55.77845440440496]
Push-based decentralized communication enables optimization over communication networks, where information exchange may be asymmetric.<n>We develop a unified uniform-stability framework for the Gradient Push (SGP) algorithm.<n>A key technical ingredient is an imbalance-aware generalization bound through two quantities.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-24T05:32:03Z) - Improving Minimax Estimation Rates for Contaminated Mixture of Multinomial Logistic Experts via Expert Heterogeneity [49.809923981964715]
Contaminated mixture of experts (MoE) is motivated by transfer learning methods where a pre-trained model, acting as a frozen expert, is integrated with an adapter model, functioning as a trainable expert, in order to learn a new task.<n>In this work, we characterize uniform convergence rates for estimating parameters under challenging settings where ground-truth parameters vary with the sample size.<n>We also establish corresponding minimax lower bounds to ensure that these rates are minimax optimal.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-31T23:45:50Z) - Byzantine-tolerant distributed learning of finite mixture models [16.60734923697257]
This paper introduces Distance Filtered Mixture Reduction (DFMR)<n>DFMR is a Byzantine tolerant adaptation of Mixture Reduction (MR) that is both computationally efficient and statistically sound.<n>We provide theoretical justification for DFMR, proving its optimal convergence rate and equivalence to the global maximum likelihood estimate.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-19T02:11:26Z) - Targeted Separation and Convergence with Kernel Discrepancies [61.973643031360254]
kernel-based discrepancy measures are required to (i) separate a target P from other probability measures or (ii) control weak convergence to P.<n>In this article we derive new sufficient and necessary conditions to ensure (i) and (ii)<n>For MMDs on separable metric spaces, we characterize those kernels that separate Bochner embeddable measures and introduce simple conditions for separating all measures with unbounded kernels.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-26T16:41:16Z) - Exact Recovery in the General Hypergraph Stochastic Block Model [92.28929858529679]
This paper investigates fundamental limits of exact recovery in the general d-uniform hypergraph block model (d-HSBM)
We show that there exists a sharp threshold such that exact recovery is achievable above the threshold and impossible below it.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-05-11T03:39:08Z) - Amortized Conditional Normalized Maximum Likelihood: Reliable Out of
Distribution Uncertainty Estimation [99.92568326314667]
We propose the amortized conditional normalized maximum likelihood (ACNML) method as a scalable general-purpose approach for uncertainty estimation.
Our algorithm builds on the conditional normalized maximum likelihood (CNML) coding scheme, which has minimax optimal properties according to the minimum description length principle.
We demonstrate that ACNML compares favorably to a number of prior techniques for uncertainty estimation in terms of calibration on out-of-distribution inputs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-05T08:04:34Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.