Observed mobility behavior data reveal social distancing inertia
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2004.14748v1
- Date: Thu, 30 Apr 2020 13:12:37 GMT
- Title: Observed mobility behavior data reveal social distancing inertia
- Authors: Sepehr Ghader, Jun Zhao, Minha Lee, Weiyi Zhou, Guangchen Zhao, Lei
Zhang
- Abstract summary: The study revealed that statistics related to social distancing, namely trip rate, miles traveled per person, and percentage of population staying at home have all showed an unexpected trend.
The trends showed that as soon as COVID-19 cases were observed, the statistics started improving, regardless of government actions.
The study suggests that there is a natural behavior inertia toward social distancing, which puts a limit on the extent of improvement in the social-distancing-related statistics.
- Score: 16.89576620375838
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: The research team has utilized an integrated dataset, consisting of
anonymized location data, COVID-19 case data, and census population
information, to study the impact of COVID-19 on human mobility. The study
revealed that statistics related to social distancing, namely trip rate, miles
traveled per person, and percentage of population staying at home have all
showed an unexpected trend, which we named social distancing inertia. The
trends showed that as soon as COVID-19 cases were observed, the statistics
started improving, regardless of government actions. This suggests that a
portion of population who could and were willing to practice social distancing
voluntarily and naturally reacted to the emergence of COVID-19 cases. However,
after about two weeks, the statistics saturated and stopped improving, despite
the continuous rise in COVID-19 cases. The study suggests that there is a
natural behavior inertia toward social distancing, which puts a limit on the
extent of improvement in the social-distancing-related statistics. The national
data showed that the inertia phenomenon is universal, happening in all the U.S.
states and for all the studied statistics. The U.S. states showed a
synchronized trend, regardless of the timeline of their statewide COVID-19 case
spreads or government orders.
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