Understanding the Dynamics of Information Flow During Disaster Response
Using Absorbing Markov Chains
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.06510v2
- Date: Sun, 5 Jul 2020 22:43:47 GMT
- Title: Understanding the Dynamics of Information Flow During Disaster Response
Using Absorbing Markov Chains
- Authors: Yitong Li and Wenying Ji
- Abstract summary: This paper aims to derive a quantitative model to evaluate the impact of information flow on the effectiveness of disaster response.
At the core of the model is a specialized absorbing Markov chain that models the process of delivering federal assistance to the community.
- Score: 15.97186478109836
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: This paper aims to derive a quantitative model to evaluate the impact of
information flow on the effectiveness of disaster response. At the core of the
model is a specialized absorbing Markov chain that models the process of
delivering federal assistance to the community while considering stakeholder
interactions and information flow uncertainty. Using the proposed model, the
probability of community satisfaction is computed to reflect the effectiveness
of disaster response. A hypothetical example is provided to demonstrate the
applicability and interpretability of the derived quantitative model.
Practically, the research provides governmental stakeholders interpretable
insights for evaluating the impact of information flow on their disaster
response effectiveness so that critical stakeholders can be targeted proactive
actions for enhanced disaster response.
Related papers
- Data-Driven Bayesian Network Models of Hurricane Evacuation Decision Making [2.749589513485177]
We propose using Bayesian Networks (BNs) to model evacuation decisions during hurricanes.
We collected questionnaire data from two significant hurricane events: Hurricane Harvey and Hurricane Irma.
We examined and compared the learned structures of both hurricanes, revealing potential causal relationships among key predictors of evacuation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-16T22:58:57Z) - Decoding Susceptibility: Modeling Misbelief to Misinformation Through a Computational Approach [61.04606493712002]
Susceptibility to misinformation describes the degree of belief in unverifiable claims that is not observable.
Existing susceptibility studies heavily rely on self-reported beliefs.
We propose a computational approach to model users' latent susceptibility levels.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-16T07:22:56Z) - Unveiling Safety Vulnerabilities of Large Language Models [4.562678399685183]
This paper introduces a unique dataset containing adversarial examples in the form of questions, which we call AttaQ.
We assess the efficacy of our dataset by analyzing the vulnerabilities of various models when subjected to it.
We introduce a novel automatic approach for identifying and naming vulnerable semantic regions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-07T16:50:33Z) - Decoding the Silent Majority: Inducing Belief Augmented Social Graph
with Large Language Model for Response Forecasting [74.68371461260946]
SocialSense is a framework that induces a belief-centered graph on top of an existent social network, along with graph-based propagation to capture social dynamics.
Our method surpasses existing state-of-the-art in experimental evaluations for both zero-shot and supervised settings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-20T06:17:02Z) - Measuring the Effect of Influential Messages on Varying Personas [67.1149173905004]
We present a new task, Response Forecasting on Personas for News Media, to estimate the response a persona might have upon seeing a news message.
The proposed task not only introduces personalization in the modeling but also predicts the sentiment polarity and intensity of each response.
This enables more accurate and comprehensive inference on the mental state of the persona.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-25T21:01:00Z) - Causal Disentangled Variational Auto-Encoder for Preference
Understanding in Recommendation [50.93536377097659]
This paper introduces the Causal Disentangled Variational Auto-Encoder (CaD-VAE), a novel approach for learning causal disentangled representations from interaction data in recommender systems.
The approach utilizes structural causal models to generate causal representations that describe the causal relationship between latent factors.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-17T00:10:56Z) - Preference Enhanced Social Influence Modeling for Network-Aware Cascade
Prediction [59.221668173521884]
We propose a novel framework to promote cascade size prediction by enhancing the user preference modeling.
Our end-to-end method makes the user activating process of information diffusion more adaptive and accurate.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-04-18T09:25:06Z) - Stateful Offline Contextual Policy Evaluation and Learning [88.9134799076718]
We study off-policy evaluation and learning from sequential data.
We formalize the relevant causal structure of problems such as dynamic personalized pricing.
We show improved out-of-sample policy performance in this class of relevant problems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-19T16:15:56Z) - Adaptive Reinforcement Learning Model for Simulation of Urban Mobility
during Crises [2.5876546798940616]
This study proposes and tests an adaptive reinforcement learning model that can learn the patterns of human mobility in a normal context.
The application of the proposed model is shown in the context of Houston and the flooding scenario caused by Hurricane Harvey in August 2017.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-09-02T21:47:18Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.