Glucose values prediction five years ahead with a new framework of
missing responses in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, and the use of
continuous glucose monitoring technology
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2012.06564v2
- Date: Mon, 14 Dec 2020 18:47:42 GMT
- Title: Glucose values prediction five years ahead with a new framework of
missing responses in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, and the use of
continuous glucose monitoring technology
- Authors: Marcos Matabuena, Paulo F\'elix, Carlos Meijide-Garcia and Francisco
Gude
- Abstract summary: AEGIS study possesses unique information on longitudinal changes in circulating glucose through continuous glucose monitoring technology (CGM)
As usual in longitudinal medical studies, there is a significant amount of missing data in the outcome variables.
This article proposes a new data analysis framework based on learning in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) with missing responses.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: AEGIS study possesses unique information on longitudinal changes in
circulating glucose through continuous glucose monitoring technology (CGM).
However, as usual in longitudinal medical studies, there is a significant
amount of missing data in the outcome variables. For example, 40 percent of
glycosylated hemoglobin (A1C) biomarker data are missing five years ahead. With
the purpose to reduce the impact of this issue, this article proposes a new
data analysis framework based on learning in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces
(RKHS) with missing responses that allows to capture non-linear relations
between variable studies in different supervised modeling tasks. First, we
extend the Hilbert-Schmidt dependence measure to test statistical independence
in this context introducing a new bootstrap procedure, for which we prove
consistency. Next, we adapt or use existing models of variable selection,
regression, and conformal inference to obtain new clinical findings about
glucose changes five years ahead with the AEGIS data. The most relevant
findings are summarized below: i) We identify new factors associated with
long-term glucose evolution; ii) We show the clinical sensibility of CGM data
to detect changes in glucose metabolism; iii) We can improve clinical
interventions based on our algorithms' expected glucose changes according to
patients' baseline characteristics.
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