Probabilistic Human Motion Prediction via A Bayesian Neural Network
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2107.06564v1
- Date: Wed, 14 Jul 2021 09:05:33 GMT
- Title: Probabilistic Human Motion Prediction via A Bayesian Neural Network
- Authors: Jie Xu, Xingyu Chen, Xuguang Lan and Nanning Zheng
- Abstract summary: We propose a probabilistic model for human motion prediction in this paper.
Our model could generate several future motions when given an observed motion sequence.
We extensively validate our approach on a large scale benchmark dataset Human3.6m.
- Score: 71.16277790708529
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Human motion prediction is an important and challenging topic that has
promising prospects in efficient and safe human-robot-interaction systems.
Currently, the majority of the human motion prediction algorithms are based on
deterministic models, which may lead to risky decisions for robots. To solve
this problem, we propose a probabilistic model for human motion prediction in
this paper. The key idea of our approach is to extend the conventional
deterministic motion prediction neural network to a Bayesian one. On one hand,
our model could generate several future motions when given an observed motion
sequence. On the other hand, by calculating the Epistemic Uncertainty and the
Heteroscedastic Aleatoric Uncertainty, our model could tell the robot if the
observation has been seen before and also give the optimal result among all
possible predictions. We extensively validate our approach on a large scale
benchmark dataset Human3.6m. The experiments show that our approach performs
better than deterministic methods. We further evaluate our approach in a
Human-Robot-Interaction (HRI) scenario. The experimental results show that our
approach makes the interaction more efficient and safer.
Related papers
- Human Trajectory Forecasting with Explainable Behavioral Uncertainty [63.62824628085961]
Human trajectory forecasting helps to understand and predict human behaviors, enabling applications from social robots to self-driving cars.
Model-free methods offer superior prediction accuracy but lack explainability, while model-based methods provide explainability but cannot predict well.
We show that BNSP-SFM achieves up to a 50% improvement in prediction accuracy, compared with 11 state-of-the-art methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-07-04T16:45:21Z) - A Neuro-Symbolic Approach for Enhanced Human Motion Prediction [5.742409080817885]
We propose a neuro-symbolic approach for human motion prediction (NeuroSyM)
NeuroSyM weights differently the interactions in the neighbourhood by leveraging an intuitive technique for spatial representation called qualitative Trajectory Calculus (QTC)
Experimental results show that the NeuroSyM approach outperforms in most cases the baseline architectures in terms of prediction accuracy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-23T20:11:40Z) - A-ACT: Action Anticipation through Cycle Transformations [89.83027919085289]
We take a step back to analyze how the human capability to anticipate the future can be transferred to machine learning algorithms.
A recent study on human psychology explains that, in anticipating an occurrence, the human brain counts on both systems.
In this work, we study the impact of each system for the task of action anticipation and introduce a paradigm to integrate them in a learning framework.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-04-02T21:50:45Z) - Uncertainty-aware Human Motion Prediction [0.4568777157687961]
We propose an uncertainty-aware framework for human motion prediction (UA-HMP)
We first design an uncertainty-aware predictor through Gaussian modeling to achieve the value and the uncertainty of predicted motion.
Then, an uncertainty-guided learning scheme is proposed to quantitate the uncertainty and reduce the negative effect of the noisy samples.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-07-08T03:09:01Z) - On complementing end-to-end human motion predictors with planning [31.025766804649464]
High capacity end-to-end approaches for human motion prediction have the ability to represent subtle nuances in human behavior, but struggle with robustness to out of distribution inputs and tail events.
Planning-based prediction, on the other hand, can reliably output decent-but-not-great predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-09T19:02:45Z) - Long Term Motion Prediction Using Keyposes [122.22758311506588]
We argue that, to achieve long term forecasting, predicting human pose at every time instant is unnecessary.
We call such poses "keyposes", and approximate complex motions by linearly interpolating between subsequent keyposes.
We show that learning the sequence of such keyposes allows us to predict very long term motion, up to 5 seconds in the future.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-12-08T20:45:51Z) - Leveraging Neural Network Gradients within Trajectory Optimization for
Proactive Human-Robot Interactions [32.57882479132015]
We present a framework that fuses together the interpretability and flexibility of trajectory optimization (TO) with the predictive power of state-of-the-art human trajectory prediction models.
We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach in a multi-agent scenario whereby a robot is required to safely and efficiently navigate through a crowd of up to ten pedestrians.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-12-02T08:43:36Z) - Adversarial Refinement Network for Human Motion Prediction [61.50462663314644]
Two popular methods, recurrent neural networks and feed-forward deep networks, are able to predict rough motion trend.
We propose an Adversarial Refinement Network (ARNet) following a simple yet effective coarse-to-fine mechanism with novel adversarial error augmentation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-23T05:42:20Z) - Risk-Sensitive Sequential Action Control with Multi-Modal Human
Trajectory Forecasting for Safe Crowd-Robot Interaction [55.569050872780224]
We present an online framework for safe crowd-robot interaction based on risk-sensitive optimal control, wherein the risk is modeled by the entropic risk measure.
Our modular approach decouples the crowd-robot interaction into learning-based prediction and model-based control.
A simulation study and a real-world experiment show that the proposed framework can accomplish safe and efficient navigation while avoiding collisions with more than 50 humans in the scene.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-09-12T02:02:52Z) - Multimodal Deep Generative Models for Trajectory Prediction: A
Conditional Variational Autoencoder Approach [34.70843462687529]
We provide a self-contained tutorial on a conditional variational autoencoder approach to human behavior prediction.
The goals of this tutorial paper are to review and build a taxonomy of state-of-the-art methods in human behavior prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-08-10T03:18:27Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.