WaveCorr: Correlation-savvy Deep Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio
Management
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2109.07005v1
- Date: Tue, 14 Sep 2021 22:52:46 GMT
- Title: WaveCorr: Correlation-savvy Deep Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio
Management
- Authors: Saeed Marzban, Erick Delage, Jonathan Yumeng Li, Jeremie
Desgagne-Bouchard, Carl Dussault
- Abstract summary: We present a new portfolio policy network architecture for deep reinforcement learning (DRL)
WaveCorr consistently outperforms other architectures with an impressive 3%-25% improvement in terms of average annual return.
We also measured an improvement of a factor of up to 5 in the stability of performance under random choices of initial asset ordering and weights.
- Score: 1.0499611180329804
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: The problem of portfolio management represents an important and challenging
class of dynamic decision making problems, where rebalancing decisions need to
be made over time with the consideration of many factors such as investors
preferences, trading environments, and market conditions. In this paper, we
present a new portfolio policy network architecture for deep reinforcement
learning (DRL)that can exploit more effectively cross-asset dependency
information and achieve better performance than state-of-the-art architectures.
In particular, we introduce a new property, referred to as \textit{asset
permutation invariance}, for portfolio policy networks that exploit multi-asset
time series data, and design the first portfolio policy network, named
WaveCorr, that preserves this invariance property when treating asset
correlation information. At the core of our design is an innovative permutation
invariant correlation processing layer. An extensive set of experiments are
conducted using data from both Canadian (TSX) and American stock markets (S&P
500), and WaveCorr consistently outperforms other architectures with an
impressive 3%-25% absolute improvement in terms of average annual return, and
up to more than 200% relative improvement in average Sharpe ratio. We also
measured an improvement of a factor of up to 5 in the stability of performance
under random choices of initial asset ordering and weights. The stability of
the network has been found as particularly valuable by our industrial partner.
Related papers
- Bridging and Modeling Correlations in Pairwise Data for Direct Preference Optimization [75.1240295759264]
We propose an effective framework for Bridging and Modeling Correlations in pairwise data, named BMC.
We increase the consistency and informativeness of the pairwise preference signals through targeted modifications.
We identify that DPO alone is insufficient to model these correlations and capture nuanced variations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-08-14T11:29:47Z) - Large-scale Time-Varying Portfolio Optimisation using Graph Attention Networks [4.2056926734482065]
This is the first study to incorporate risky firms and use all the firms in portfolio optimisation.
We propose and empirically test a novel method that leverages Graph Attention networks (GATs)
GATs are deep learning-based models that exploit network data to uncover nonlinear relationships.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-22T10:50:47Z) - Deep Reinforcement Learning and Mean-Variance Strategies for Responsible Portfolio Optimization [49.396692286192206]
We study the use of deep reinforcement learning for responsible portfolio optimization by incorporating ESG states and objectives.
Our results show that deep reinforcement learning policies can provide competitive performance against mean-variance approaches for responsible portfolio allocation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-25T12:04:03Z) - Optimizing Portfolio Management and Risk Assessment in Digital Assets
Using Deep Learning for Predictive Analysis [5.015409508372732]
This paper introduces the DQN algorithm into asset management portfolios in a novel and straightforward way.
The performance greatly exceeds the benchmark, which fully proves the effectiveness of the DRL algorithm in portfolio management.
Since different assets are trained separately as environments, there may be a phenomenon of Q value drift among different assets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-25T05:23:57Z) - Cryptocurrency Portfolio Optimization by Neural Networks [81.20955733184398]
This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment products.
A deep neural network, which outputs the allocation weight of each asset at a time interval, is trained to maximize the Sharpe ratio.
A novel loss term is proposed to regulate the network's bias towards a specific asset, thus enforcing the network to learn an allocation strategy that is close to a minimum variance strategy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-02T12:33:28Z) - A Comparative Analysis of Portfolio Optimization Using Mean-Variance,
Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning Approaches on the Indian
Stock Market [0.0]
This paper presents a comparative analysis of the performances of three portfolio optimization approaches.
The portfolios are trained and tested over several stock data and their performances are compared on their annual returns, annual risks, and Sharpe ratios.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-27T16:38:18Z) - Detecting and adapting to crisis pattern with context based Deep
Reinforcement Learning [6.224519494738852]
We present an innovative DRL framework consisting in two sub-networks fed respectively with portfolio strategies past performances and standard deviations as well as additional contextual features.
Results on test set show this approach substantially over-performs traditional portfolio optimization methods like Markowitz and is able to detect and anticipate crisis like the current Covid one.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-09-07T12:11:08Z) - Deep Stock Predictions [58.720142291102135]
We consider the design of a trading strategy that performs portfolio optimization using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks.
We then customize the loss function used to train the LSTM to increase the profit earned.
We find the LSTM model with the customized loss function to have an improved performance in the training bot over a regressive baseline such as ARIMA.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-08T23:37:47Z) - Deep Learning for Portfolio Optimization [5.833272638548154]
Instead of selecting individual assets, we trade Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) of market indices to form a portfolio.
We compare our method with a wide range of algorithms with results showing that our model obtains the best performance over the testing period.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-05-27T21:28:43Z) - Dynamic Federated Learning [57.14673504239551]
Federated learning has emerged as an umbrella term for centralized coordination strategies in multi-agent environments.
We consider a federated learning model where at every iteration, a random subset of available agents perform local updates based on their data.
Under a non-stationary random walk model on the true minimizer for the aggregate optimization problem, we establish that the performance of the architecture is determined by three factors, namely, the data variability at each agent, the model variability across all agents, and a tracking term that is inversely proportional to the learning rate of the algorithm.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-02-20T15:00:54Z) - Reinforcement-Learning based Portfolio Management with Augmented Asset
Movement Prediction States [71.54651874063865]
Portfolio management (PM) aims to achieve investment goals such as maximal profits or minimal risks.
In this paper, we propose SARL, a novel State-Augmented RL framework for PM.
Our framework aims to address two unique challenges in financial PM: (1) data Heterogeneous data -- the collected information for each asset is usually diverse, noisy and imbalanced (e.g., news articles); and (2) environment uncertainty -- the financial market is versatile and non-stationary.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-02-09T08:10:03Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.