Deep Hedging: Learning to Remove the Drift under Trading Frictions with Minimal Equivalent Near-Martingale Measures

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2111.07844v2
• Date: Thu, 18 Nov 2021 17:08:39 GMT
• Title: Deep Hedging: Learning to Remove the Drift under Trading Frictions with Minimal Equivalent Near-Martingale Measures
• Authors: Hans Buehler, Phillip Murray, Mikko S. Pakkanen, Ben Wood
• Abstract summary: We present a numerically efficient approach for learning minimal equivalent martingale measures for market simulators of tradable instruments. We relax the results to learning minimal equivalent "near-martingale measures" under which expected returns remain within prevailing bid/ask spreads.
• Score: 0.0
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: We present a numerically efficient approach for learning minimal equivalent martingale measures for market simulators of tradable instruments, e.g. for a spot price and options written on the same underlying. In the presence of transaction cost and trading restrictions, we relax the results to learning minimal equivalent "near-martingale measures" under which expected returns remain within prevailing bid/ask spreads. Our approach to thus "removing the drift" in a high dimensional complex space is entirely model-free and can be applied to any market simulator which does not exhibit classic arbitrage. The resulting model can be used for risk neutral pricing, or, in the case of transaction costs or trading constraints, for "Deep Hedging". We demonstrate our approach by applying it to two market simulators, an auto-regressive discrete-time stochastic implied volatility model, and a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) based simulator, both of which trained on historical data of option prices under the statistical measure to produce realistic samples of spot and option prices. We comment on robustness with respect to estimation error of the original market simulator.

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