Human Trajectory Prediction via Neural Social Physics

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2207.10435v2
• Date: Fri, 31 Mar 2023 17:51:22 GMT
• Title: Human Trajectory Prediction via Neural Social Physics
• Authors: Jiangbei Yue, Dinesh Manocha and He Wang
• Abstract summary: Trajectory prediction has been widely pursued in many fields, and many model-based and model-free methods have been explored. We propose a new method combining both methodologies based on a new Neural Differential Equation model. Our new model (Neural Social Physics or NSP) is a deep neural network within which we use an explicit physics model with learnable parameters.
• Score: 63.62824628085961
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: Trajectory prediction has been widely pursued in many fields, and many model-based and model-free methods have been explored. The former include rule-based, geometric or optimization-based models, and the latter are mainly comprised of deep learning approaches. In this paper, we propose a new method combining both methodologies based on a new Neural Differential Equation model. Our new model (Neural Social Physics or NSP) is a deep neural network within which we use an explicit physics model with learnable parameters. The explicit physics model serves as a strong inductive bias in modeling pedestrian behaviors, while the rest of the network provides a strong data-fitting capability in terms of system parameter estimation and dynamics stochasticity modeling. We compare NSP with 15 recent deep learning methods on 6 datasets and improve the state-of-the-art performance by 5.56%-70%. Besides, we show that NSP has better generalizability in predicting plausible trajectories in drastically different scenarios where the density is 2-5 times as high as the testing data. Finally, we show that the physics model in NSP can provide plausible explanations for pedestrian behaviors, as opposed to black-box deep learning. Code is available: https://github.com/realcrane/Human-Trajectory-Prediction-via-Neural-Social-Physics.

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