A Study of Left Before Treatment Complete Emergency Department Patients:
An Optimized Explanatory Machine Learning Framework
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2212.11879v1
- Date: Thu, 22 Dec 2022 17:14:10 GMT
- Title: A Study of Left Before Treatment Complete Emergency Department Patients:
An Optimized Explanatory Machine Learning Framework
- Authors: Abdulaziz Ahmed, Khalid Y.Aram, Salih Tutun
- Abstract summary: This paper proposes a framework for studying the factors that affect left before treatment complete outcomes in emergency departments.
The framework integrates machine learning, metaheuristic optimization, and model interpretation techniques.
The optimized XGB models are used to predict the LBTC outcomes for the patients under treatment in ED.
- Score: 1.933681537640272
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: The issue of left before treatment complete (LBTC) patients is common in
emergency departments (EDs). This issue represents a medico-legal risk and may
cause a revenue loss. Thus, understanding the factors that cause patients to
leave before treatment is complete is vital to mitigate and potentially
eliminate these adverse effects. This paper proposes a framework for studying
the factors that affect LBTC outcomes in EDs. The framework integrates machine
learning, metaheuristic optimization, and model interpretation techniques.
Metaheuristic optimization is used for hyperparameter optimization--one of the
main challenges of machine learning model development. Three metaheuristic
optimization algorithms are employed for optimizing the parameters of extreme
gradient boosting (XGB), which are simulated annealing (SA), adaptive simulated
annealing (ASA), and adaptive tabu simulated annealing (ATSA). The optimized
XGB models are used to predict the LBTC outcomes for the patients under
treatment in ED. The designed algorithms are trained and tested using four data
groups resulting from the feature selection phase. The model with the best
predictive performance is interpreted using SHaply Additive exPlanations (SHAP)
method. The findings show that ATSA-XGB outperformed other mode configurations
with an accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and
F1-score of 86.61%, 87.50%, 85.71%, 87.51%, and 86.60%, respectively. The
degree and the direction of effects of each feature were determined and
explained using the SHAP method.
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