Backorder Prediction in Inventory Management: Classification Techniques
and Cost Considerations
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2309.13837v3
- Date: Tue, 24 Oct 2023 15:49:03 GMT
- Title: Backorder Prediction in Inventory Management: Classification Techniques
and Cost Considerations
- Authors: Sarit Maitra, Sukanya Kundu
- Abstract summary: This article introduces an advanced analytical approach for predicting backorders in inventory management.
Backorder refers to an order that cannot be immediately fulfilled due to stock depletion.
Study suggests that a combination of modeling approaches, including ensemble techniques and VAE, can effectively address imbalanced datasets in inventory management.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
- Abstract: This article introduces an advanced analytical approach for predicting
backorders in inventory management. Backorder refers to an order that cannot be
immediately fulfilled due to stock depletion. Multiple classification
techniques, including Balanced Bagging Classifiers, Fuzzy Logic, Variational
Autoencoder - Generative Adversarial Networks, and Multi-layer Perceptron
classifiers, are assessed in this work using performance evaluation metrics
such as ROC-AUC and PR-AUC. Moreover, this work incorporates a profit function
and misclassification costs, considering the financial implications and costs
associated with inventory management and backorder handling. The study suggests
that a combination of modeling approaches, including ensemble techniques and
VAE, can effectively address imbalanced datasets in inventory management,
emphasizing interpretability and reducing false positives and false negatives.
This research contributes to the advancement of predictive analytics and offers
valuable insights for future investigations in backorder forecasting and
inventory control optimization for decision-making.
Related papers
- Optimizing Fintech Marketing: A Comparative Study of Logistic Regression and XGBoost [0.0]
This study employs advanced machine learning techniques to analyze consumer behavior and predict responses to direct mail campaigns.
XGBoost consistently outperforms logistic regression across various metrics, particularly in scenarios using categorical binning and custom imputation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-12-20T20:45:42Z) - Truncating Trajectories in Monte Carlo Policy Evaluation: an Adaptive Approach [51.76826149868971]
Policy evaluation via Monte Carlo simulation is at the core of many MC Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms.
We propose as a quality index a surrogate of the mean squared error of a return estimator that uses trajectories of different lengths.
We present an adaptive algorithm called Robust and Iterative Data collection strategy Optimization (RIDO)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-17T11:47:56Z) - Evaluation of Active Feature Acquisition Methods for Time-varying Feature Settings [6.082810456767599]
Machine learning methods often assume that input features are available at no cost.
In domains like healthcare, where acquiring features could be expensive harmful, it is necessary to balance a features acquisition against its predictive positivity.
We present a problem of active feature acquisition performance evaluation (AFAPE)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-03T23:08:29Z) - Comparative Analysis of Linear Regression, Gaussian Elimination, and LU
Decomposition for CT Real Estate Purchase Decisions [0.0]
Three algorithms were evaluated for predicting the advisability of buying a house in the State of Connecticut.
Linear Regression and LU Decomposition provided the most reliable recommendations.
By evaluating model efficacy through metrics such as R-squared scores and Mean Squared Error, we provide a nuanced understanding of each method's strengths and weaknesses.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-22T15:35:56Z) - Diffusion Variational Autoencoder for Tackling Stochasticity in
Multi-Step Regression Stock Price Prediction [54.21695754082441]
Multi-step stock price prediction over a long-term horizon is crucial for forecasting its volatility.
Current solutions to multi-step stock price prediction are mostly designed for single-step, classification-based predictions.
We combine a deep hierarchical variational-autoencoder (VAE) and diffusion probabilistic techniques to do seq2seq stock prediction.
Our model is shown to outperform state-of-the-art solutions in terms of its prediction accuracy and variance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-18T16:21:15Z) - Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models [51.3422222472898]
We document the capability of large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT to predict stock price movements using news headlines.
We develop a theoretical model incorporating information capacity constraints, underreaction, limits-to-arbitrage, and LLMs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-15T19:22:37Z) - Benefits of Permutation-Equivariance in Auction Mechanisms [90.42990121652956]
An auction mechanism that maximizes the auctioneer's revenue while minimizes bidders' ex-post regret is an important yet intricate problem in economics.
Remarkable progress has been achieved through learning the optimal auction mechanism by neural networks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-11T16:13:25Z) - Budgeted Classification with Rejection: An Evolutionary Method with
Multiple Objectives [0.0]
Budgeted, sequential classifiers (BSCs) process inputs through a sequence of partial feature acquisition and evaluation steps.
This allows for an efficient evaluation of inputs that prevents unneeded feature acquisition.
We propose a problem-specific genetic algorithm to build budgeted, sequential classifiers with confidence-based reject options.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-05-01T22:05:16Z) - Loss Functions for Discrete Contextual Pricing with Observational Data [8.661128420558349]
We study a pricing setting where each customer is offered a contextualized price based on customer and/or product features.
We observe whether each customer purchased a product at the price prescribed rather than the customer's true valuation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-11-18T20:12:57Z) - Unifying Gradient Estimators for Meta-Reinforcement Learning via
Off-Policy Evaluation [53.83642844626703]
We provide a unifying framework for estimating higher-order derivatives of value functions, based on off-policy evaluation.
Our framework interprets a number of prior approaches as special cases and elucidates the bias and variance trade-off of Hessian estimates.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-24T15:58:01Z) - Classifying variety of customer's online engagement for churn prediction
with mixed-penalty logistic regression [0.0]
We provide new predictive analytics of customer churn rate based on a machine learning method that enhances the classification of logistic regression by adding a mixed penalty term.
We show the analytical properties of the proposed method and its computational advantage in this research.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-05-17T08:40:34Z) - Supervised PCA: A Multiobjective Approach [70.99924195791532]
Methods for supervised principal component analysis (SPCA)
We propose a new method for SPCA that addresses both of these objectives jointly.
Our approach accommodates arbitrary supervised learning losses and, through a statistical reformulation, provides a novel low-rank extension of generalized linear models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-10T18:46:58Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.