Interpretable Long Term Waypoint-Based Trajectory Prediction Model
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2312.06219v1
- Date: Mon, 11 Dec 2023 09:10:22 GMT
- Title: Interpretable Long Term Waypoint-Based Trajectory Prediction Model
- Authors: Amina Ghoul, Itheri Yahiaoui (URCA), Fawzi Nashashibi
- Abstract summary: We study the impact of adding a long-term goal on the performance of a trajectory prediction framework.
We present an interpretable long term waypoint-driven prediction framework (WayDCM)
- Score: 1.4778851751964937
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Predicting the future trajectories of dynamic agents in complex environments
is crucial for a variety of applications, including autonomous driving,
robotics, and human-computer interaction. It is a challenging task as the
behavior of the agent is unknown and intrinsically multimodal. Our key insight
is that the agents behaviors are influenced not only by their past trajectories
and their interaction with their immediate environment but also largely with
their long term waypoint (LTW). In this paper, we study the impact of adding a
long-term goal on the performance of a trajectory prediction framework. We
present an interpretable long term waypoint-driven prediction framework
(WayDCM). WayDCM first predict an agent's intermediate goal (IG) by encoding
his interactions with the environment as well as his LTW using a combination of
a Discrete choice Model (DCM) and a Neural Network model (NN). Then, our model
predicts the corresponding trajectories. This is in contrast to previous work
which does not consider the ultimate intent of the agent to predict his
trajectory. We evaluate and show the effectiveness of our approach on the Waymo
Open dataset.
Related papers
- FIMP: Future Interaction Modeling for Multi-Agent Motion Prediction [18.10147252674138]
We propose Future Interaction modeling for Motion Prediction (FIMP), which captures potential future interactions in an end-to-end manner.
Experiments show that our future interaction modeling improves the performance remarkably, leading to superior performance on the Argoverse motion forecasting benchmark.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-29T14:41:55Z) - Trajeglish: Traffic Modeling as Next-Token Prediction [67.28197954427638]
A longstanding challenge for self-driving development is simulating dynamic driving scenarios seeded from recorded driving logs.
We apply tools from discrete sequence modeling to model how vehicles, pedestrians and cyclists interact in driving scenarios.
Our model tops the Sim Agents Benchmark, surpassing prior work along the realism meta metric by 3.3% and along the interaction metric by 9.9%.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-07T18:53:27Z) - Interactive Autonomous Navigation with Internal State Inference and
Interactivity Estimation [58.21683603243387]
We propose three auxiliary tasks with relational-temporal reasoning and integrate them into the standard Deep Learning framework.
These auxiliary tasks provide additional supervision signals to infer the behavior patterns other interactive agents.
Our approach achieves robust and state-of-the-art performance in terms of standard evaluation metrics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-27T18:57:42Z) - JRDB-Traj: A Dataset and Benchmark for Trajectory Forecasting in Crowds [79.00975648564483]
Trajectory forecasting models, employed in fields such as robotics, autonomous vehicles, and navigation, face challenges in real-world scenarios.
This dataset provides comprehensive data, including the locations of all agents, scene images, and point clouds, all from the robot's perspective.
The objective is to predict the future positions of agents relative to the robot using raw sensory input data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-05T18:59:31Z) - JFP: Joint Future Prediction with Interactive Multi-Agent Modeling for
Autonomous Driving [12.460224193998362]
We propose an end-to-end trainable model that learns directly the interaction between pairs of agents in a structured, graphical model formulation.
Our approach improves significantly on the trajectory overlap metrics while obtaining on-par or better performance on single-agent trajectory metrics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-16T20:59:21Z) - Deep Interactive Motion Prediction and Planning: Playing Games with
Motion Prediction Models [162.21629604674388]
This work presents a game-theoretic Model Predictive Controller (MPC) that uses a novel interactive multi-agent neural network policy as part of its predictive model.
Fundamental to the success of our method is the design of a novel multi-agent policy network that can steer a vehicle given the state of the surrounding agents and the map information.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-04-05T17:58:18Z) - LatentFormer: Multi-Agent Transformer-Based Interaction Modeling and
Trajectory Prediction [12.84508682310717]
We propose LatentFormer, a transformer-based model for predicting future vehicle trajectories.
We evaluate the proposed method on the nuScenes benchmark dataset and show that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance and improves upon trajectory metrics by up to 40%.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-03-03T17:44:58Z) - You Mostly Walk Alone: Analyzing Feature Attribution in Trajectory
Prediction [52.442129609979794]
Recent deep learning approaches for trajectory prediction show promising performance.
It remains unclear which features such black-box models actually learn to use for making predictions.
This paper proposes a procedure that quantifies the contributions of different cues to model performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-11T14:24:15Z) - Scene Transformer: A unified multi-task model for behavior prediction
and planning [42.758178896204036]
We formulate a model for predicting the behavior of all agents jointly in real-world driving environments.
Inspired by recent language modeling approaches, we use a masking strategy as the query to our model.
We evaluate our approach on autonomous driving datasets for behavior prediction, and achieve state-of-the-art performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-15T20:20:44Z) - TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Prediction [76.21200047185494]
We develop a target-driven trajectory prediction framework for moving agents.
We benchmark it on trajectory prediction of vehicles and pedestrians.
We outperform state-of-the-art on Argoverse Forecasting, INTERACTION, Stanford Drone and an in-house Pedestrian-at-Intersection dataset.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-08-19T06:52:46Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.