Comparative Evaluation of Weather Forecasting using Machine Learning
Models
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2402.01206v1
- Date: Fri, 2 Feb 2024 08:25:28 GMT
- Title: Comparative Evaluation of Weather Forecasting using Machine Learning
Models
- Authors: Md Saydur Rahman, Farhana Akter Tumpa, Md Shazid Islam, Abul Al Arabi,
Md Sanzid Bin Hossain, Md Saad Ul Haque
- Abstract summary: This study focuses on analyzing the contributions of various machine learning algorithms in predicting precipitation and temperature patterns using a 20-year dataset from a single weather station in Dhaka city.
Algorithms such as Gradient Boosting, AdaBoosting, Artificial Neural Network, Stacking Random Forest, Stacking Neural Network, and Stacking KNN are evaluated and compared.
- Score: 2.0971479389679337
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: Gaining a deeper understanding of weather and being able to predict its
future conduct have always been considered important endeavors for the growth
of our society. This research paper explores the advancements in understanding
and predicting nature's behavior, particularly in the context of weather
forecasting, through the application of machine learning algorithms. By
leveraging the power of machine learning, data mining, and data analysis
techniques, significant progress has been made in this field. This study
focuses on analyzing the contributions of various machine learning algorithms
in predicting precipitation and temperature patterns using a 20-year dataset
from a single weather station in Dhaka city. Algorithms such as Gradient
Boosting, AdaBoosting, Artificial Neural Network, Stacking Random Forest,
Stacking Neural Network, and Stacking KNN are evaluated and compared based on
their performance metrics, including Confusion matrix measurements. The
findings highlight remarkable achievements and provide valuable insights into
their performances and features correlation.
Related papers
- Deep learning for precipitation nowcasting: A survey from the perspective of time series forecasting [4.5424061912112474]
This paper reviews recent progress in time series precipitation forecasting models using deep learning.
We categorize forecasting models into textitrecursive and textitmultiple strategies based on their approaches to predict future frames.
We evaluate current deep learning-based models for precipitation forecasting on a public benchmark, discuss their limitations and challenges, and present some promising research directions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-07T12:07:09Z) - Generalizing Weather Forecast to Fine-grained Temporal Scales via Physics-AI Hybrid Modeling [55.13352174687475]
This paper proposes a physics-AI hybrid model (i.e., WeatherGFT) which Generalizes weather forecasts to Finer-grained Temporal scales.
Specifically, we employ a carefully designed PDE kernel to simulate physical evolution on a small time scale.
We introduce a lead time-aware training framework to promote the generalization of the model at different lead times.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-22T16:21:02Z) - Towards an end-to-end artificial intelligence driven global weather forecasting system [57.5191940978886]
We present an AI-based data assimilation model, i.e., Adas, for global weather variables.
We demonstrate that Adas can assimilate global observations to produce high-quality analysis, enabling the system operate stably for long term.
We are the first to apply the methods to real-world scenarios, which is more challenging and has considerable practical application potential.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-18T09:05:28Z) - A Distributed Approach to Meteorological Predictions: Addressing Data
Imbalance in Precipitation Prediction Models through Federated Learning and
GANs [0.0]
classification of weather data involves categorizing meteorological phenomena into classes, thereby facilitating nuanced analyses and precise predictions.
It's imperative that classification algorithms proficiently navigate challenges such as data imbalances.
Data augmentation techniques can improve the model's accuracy in classifying rare but critical weather events.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-19T21:28:20Z) - Prediction-Powered Inference [68.97619568620709]
Prediction-powered inference is a framework for performing valid statistical inference when an experimental dataset is supplemented with predictions from a machine-learning system.
The framework yields simple algorithms for computing provably valid confidence intervals for quantities such as means, quantiles, and linear and logistic regression coefficients.
Prediction-powered inference could enable researchers to draw valid and more data-efficient conclusions using machine learning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-01-23T18:59:28Z) - Advancing Reacting Flow Simulations with Data-Driven Models [50.9598607067535]
Key to effective use of machine learning tools in multi-physics problems is to couple them to physical and computer models.
The present chapter reviews some of the open opportunities for the application of data-driven reduced-order modeling of combustion systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-05T16:48:34Z) - Forecasting large-scale circulation regimes using deformable
convolutional neural networks and global spatiotemporal climate data [86.1450118623908]
We investigate a supervised machine learning approach based on deformable convolutional neural networks (deCNNs)
We forecast the North Atlantic-European weather regimes during extended boreal winter for 1 to 15 days into the future.
Due to its wider field of view, we also observe deCNN achieving considerably better performance than regular convolutional neural networks at lead times beyond 5-6 days.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-10T11:37:00Z) - Convolutional generative adversarial imputation networks for
spatio-temporal missing data in storm surge simulations [86.5302150777089]
Generative Adversarial Imputation Nets (GANs) and GAN-based techniques have attracted attention as unsupervised machine learning methods.
We name our proposed method as Con Conval Generative Adversarial Imputation Nets (Conv-GAIN)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-11-03T03:50:48Z) - Deep learning-based multi-output quantile forecasting of PV generation [34.51430520593065]
This paper develops probabilistic PV forecasters by taking advantage of recent breakthroughs in deep learning.
It tailored forecasting tool, named encoder-decoder, is implemented to compute intraday multi-output PV quantiles forecasts.
The models are trained using quantile regression, a non-parametric approach.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-02T16:28:10Z) - Supervised learning from noisy observations: Combining machine-learning
techniques with data assimilation [0.6091702876917281]
We show how to optimally combine forecast models and their inherent uncertainty with incoming noisy observations.
We show that the obtained forecast model has remarkably good forecast skill while being computationally cheap once trained.
Going beyond the task of forecasting, we show that our method can be used to generate reliable ensembles for probabilistic forecasting as well as to learn effective model closure in multi-scale systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-14T22:29:37Z) - A clustering approach to time series forecasting using neural networks:
A comparative study on distance-based vs. feature-based clustering methods [1.256413718364189]
We propose various neural network architectures to forecast the time series data using the dynamic measurements.
We also investigate the importance of performing techniques such as anomaly detection and clustering on forecasting accuracy.
Our results indicate that clustering can improve the overall prediction time as well as improve the forecasting performance of the neural network.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-01-27T00:31:37Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.