Integrating Fuzzy Logic with Causal Inference: Enhancing the Pearl and Neyman-Rubin Methodologies
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.13731v1
- Date: Wed, 19 Jun 2024 17:54:31 GMT
- Title: Integrating Fuzzy Logic with Causal Inference: Enhancing the Pearl and Neyman-Rubin Methodologies
- Authors: Amir Saki, Usef Faghihi,
- Abstract summary: We introduce a fuzzy causal inference approach that consider both the vagueness and imprecision inherent in data.
We show that for linear Structural Equation Models (SEMs), the normalized versions of our formulas, NFATE and NGFATE, are equivalent to ATE.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
- Abstract: In this paper, we generalize the Pearl and Neyman-Rubin methodologies in causal inference by introducing a generalized approach that incorporates fuzzy logic. Indeed, we introduce a fuzzy causal inference approach that consider both the vagueness and imprecision inherent in data, as well as the subjective human perspective characterized by fuzzy terms such as 'high', 'medium', and 'low'. To do so, we introduce two fuzzy causal effect formulas: the Fuzzy Average Treatment Effect (FATE) and the Generalized Fuzzy Average Treatment Effect (GFATE), together with their normalized versions: NFATE and NGFATE. When dealing with a binary treatment variable, our fuzzy causal effect formulas coincide with classical Average Treatment Effect (ATE) formula, that is a well-established and popular metric in causal inference. In FATE, all values of the treatment variable are considered equally important. In contrast, GFATE takes into account the rarity and frequency of these values. We show that for linear Structural Equation Models (SEMs), the normalized versions of our formulas, NFATE and NGFATE, are equivalent to ATE. Further, we provide identifiability criteria for these formulas and show their stability with respect to minor variations in the fuzzy subsets and the probability distributions involved. This ensures the robustness of our approach in handling small perturbations in the data. Finally, we provide several experimental examples to empirically validate and demonstrate the practical application of our proposed fuzzy causal inference methods.
Related papers
- Physics-Informed Neural Network based inverse framework for time-fractional differential equations for rheology [0.0]
Time-fractional differential equations offer a robust framework for capturing phenomena characterized by memory effects.
However, solving inverse problems involving fractional derivatives presents notable challenges, including issues related to stability and uniqueness.
In this study, we extend the application of PINNs to address inverse problems involving time-fractional derivatives, specifically targeting two problems: 1) anomalous diffusion and 2) fractional viscoelastic equation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-06T01:29:17Z) - Revisiting the Dataset Bias Problem from a Statistical Perspective [72.94990819287551]
We study the "dataset bias" problem from a statistical standpoint.
We identify the main cause of the problem as the strong correlation between a class attribute u and a non-class attribute b.
We propose to mitigate dataset bias via either weighting the objective of each sample n by frac1p(u_n|b_n) or sampling that sample with a weight proportional to frac1p(u_n|b_n).
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-05T22:58:06Z) - Distinguishing Cause from Effect on Categorical Data: The Uniform
Channel Model [0.0]
Distinguishing cause from effect using observations of a pair of random variables is a core problem in causal discovery.
We propose a criterion to address the cause-effect problem with categorical variables.
We select as the most likely causal direction the one in which the conditional probability mass function is closer to a uniform channel (UC)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-03-14T13:54:11Z) - Large deviations rates for stochastic gradient descent with strongly
convex functions [11.247580943940916]
We provide a formal framework for the study of general high probability bounds with gradient descent.
We find an upper large deviations bound for SGD with strongly convex functions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-02T09:15:26Z) - Data-Driven Influence Functions for Optimization-Based Causal Inference [105.5385525290466]
We study a constructive algorithm that approximates Gateaux derivatives for statistical functionals by finite differencing.
We study the case where probability distributions are not known a priori but need to be estimated from data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-08-29T16:16:22Z) - Causal Effect Estimation using Variational Information Bottleneck [19.6760527269791]
Causal inference is to estimate the causal effect in a causal relationship when intervention is applied.
We propose a method to estimate Causal Effect by using Variational Information Bottleneck (CEVIB)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-26T13:46:12Z) - Estimation of Bivariate Structural Causal Models by Variational Gaussian
Process Regression Under Likelihoods Parametrised by Normalising Flows [74.85071867225533]
Causal mechanisms can be described by structural causal models.
One major drawback of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence is its lack of explainability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-09-06T14:52:58Z) - Harmonization with Flow-based Causal Inference [12.739380441313022]
This paper presents a normalizing-flow-based method to perform counterfactual inference upon a structural causal model (SCM) to harmonize medical data.
We evaluate on multiple, large, real-world medical datasets to observe that this method leads to better cross-domain generalization compared to state-of-the-art algorithms.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-12T19:57:35Z) - Leveraging Global Parameters for Flow-based Neural Posterior Estimation [90.21090932619695]
Inferring the parameters of a model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method.
A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e., when distinct sets of parameters yield identical observations.
We present a method for cracking such indeterminacy by exploiting additional information conveyed by an auxiliary set of observations sharing global parameters.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-12T12:23:13Z) - Gaussian MRF Covariance Modeling for Efficient Black-Box Adversarial
Attacks [86.88061841975482]
We study the problem of generating adversarial examples in a black-box setting, where we only have access to a zeroth order oracle.
We use this setting to find fast one-step adversarial attacks, akin to a black-box version of the Fast Gradient Sign Method(FGSM)
We show that the method uses fewer queries and achieves higher attack success rates than the current state of the art.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-08T18:36:51Z) - Learning Likelihoods with Conditional Normalizing Flows [54.60456010771409]
Conditional normalizing flows (CNFs) are efficient in sampling and inference.
We present a study of CNFs where the base density to output space mapping is conditioned on an input x, to model conditional densities p(y|x)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2019-11-29T19:17:58Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.