Minimum Reduced-Order Models via Causal Inference
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.00271v2
- Date: Fri, 13 Dec 2024 04:46:29 GMT
- Title: Minimum Reduced-Order Models via Causal Inference
- Authors: Nan Chen, Honghu Liu,
- Abstract summary: We study an efficient approach to identifying sparse ROMs using an information-theoretic indicator called causation entropy.<n>We show that a Gaussian approximation of the causation entropy still performs exceptionally well even in presence of highly non-Gaussian statistics.<n>We also demonstrate good performance of the obtained ROMs in recovering unobserved dynamics via data assimilation with partial observations.
- Score: 2.300302733934937
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Constructing sparse, effective reduced-order models (ROMs) for high-dimensional dynamical data is an active area of research in applied sciences. In this work, we study an efficient approach to identifying such sparse ROMs using an information-theoretic indicator called causation entropy. Given a feature library of possible building block terms for the sought ROMs, the causation entropy ranks the importance of each term to the dynamics conveyed by the training data before a parameter estimation procedure is performed. It thus allows for an efficient construction of a hierarchy of ROMs with varying degrees of sparsity to effectively handle different tasks. This article examines the ability of the causation entropy to identify skillful sparse ROMs when a relatively high-dimensional ROM is required to emulate the dynamics conveyed by the training dataset. We demonstrate that a Gaussian approximation of the causation entropy still performs exceptionally well even in presence of highly non-Gaussian statistics. Such approximations provide an efficient way to access the otherwise hard to compute causation entropies when the selected feature library contains a large number of candidate functions. Besides recovering long-term statistics, we also demonstrate good performance of the obtained ROMs in recovering unobserved dynamics via data assimilation with partial observations, a test that has not been done before for causation-based ROMs of partial differential equations. The paradigmatic Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation placed in a chaotic regime with highly skewed, multimodal statistics is utilized for these purposes.
Related papers
- Kinetic Interacting Particle Langevin Monte Carlo [0.0]
This paper introduces and analyses interacting underdamped Langevin algorithms, for statistical inference in latent variable models.
We propose a diffusion process that evolves jointly in the space of parameters and latent variables.
We provide two explicit discretisations of this diffusion as practical algorithms to estimate parameters of statistical models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-08T09:52:46Z) - Distributed Stochastic Gradient Descent with Staleness: A Stochastic Delay Differential Equation Based Framework [56.82432591933544]
Distributed gradient descent (SGD) has attracted considerable recent attention due to its potential for scaling computational resources, reducing training time, and helping protect user privacy in machine learning.
This paper presents the run time and staleness of distributed SGD based on delay differential equations (SDDEs) and the approximation of gradient arrivals.
It is interestingly shown that increasing the number of activated workers does not necessarily accelerate distributed SGD due to staleness.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-17T02:56:55Z) - Diffusion posterior sampling for simulation-based inference in tall data settings [53.17563688225137]
Simulation-based inference ( SBI) is capable of approximating the posterior distribution that relates input parameters to a given observation.
In this work, we consider a tall data extension in which multiple observations are available to better infer the parameters of the model.
We compare our method to recently proposed competing approaches on various numerical experiments and demonstrate its superiority in terms of numerical stability and computational cost.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-11T09:23:36Z) - Statistical Mechanics of Dynamical System Identification [3.1484174280822845]
We develop a statistical mechanical approach to analyze sparse equation discovery algorithms.
In this framework, statistical mechanics offers tools to analyze the interplay between complexity and fitness.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-04T04:32:28Z) - Equation Discovery with Bayesian Spike-and-Slab Priors and Efficient Kernels [57.46832672991433]
We propose a novel equation discovery method based on Kernel learning and BAyesian Spike-and-Slab priors (KBASS)
We use kernel regression to estimate the target function, which is flexible, expressive, and more robust to data sparsity and noises.
We develop an expectation-propagation expectation-maximization algorithm for efficient posterior inference and function estimation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-09T03:55:09Z) - Capturing dynamical correlations using implicit neural representations [85.66456606776552]
We develop an artificial intelligence framework which combines a neural network trained to mimic simulated data from a model Hamiltonian with automatic differentiation to recover unknown parameters from experimental data.
In doing so, we illustrate the ability to build and train a differentiable model only once, which then can be applied in real-time to multi-dimensional scattering data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-08T07:55:36Z) - Score-based Diffusion Models in Function Space [137.70916238028306]
Diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful framework for generative modeling.
This work introduces a mathematically rigorous framework called Denoising Diffusion Operators (DDOs) for training diffusion models in function space.
We show that the corresponding discretized algorithm generates accurate samples at a fixed cost independent of the data resolution.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-14T23:50:53Z) - Mining Causality from Continuous-time Dynamics Models: An Application to
Tsunami Forecasting [22.434845478979604]
We propose a mechanism for mining causal structures from continuous-time models.
We train models to capture the causal structure by enforcing sparsity in the weights of the input layers of the dynamics models.
We apply our method to a real-world problem, namely tsunami forecasting, where the exact causal-structures are difficult to characterize.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-10T18:53:13Z) - FaDIn: Fast Discretized Inference for Hawkes Processes with General
Parametric Kernels [82.53569355337586]
This work offers an efficient solution to temporal point processes inference using general parametric kernels with finite support.
The method's effectiveness is evaluated by modeling the occurrence of stimuli-induced patterns from brain signals recorded with magnetoencephalography (MEG)
Results show that the proposed approach leads to an improved estimation of pattern latency than the state-of-the-art.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-10T12:35:02Z) - A Causality-Based Learning Approach for Discovering the Underlying
Dynamics of Complex Systems from Partial Observations with Stochastic
Parameterization [1.2882319878552302]
This paper develops a new iterative learning algorithm for complex turbulent systems with partial observations.
It alternates between identifying model structures, recovering unobserved variables, and estimating parameters.
Numerical experiments show that the new algorithm succeeds in identifying the model structure and providing suitable parameterizations for many complex nonlinear systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-08-19T00:35:03Z) - Extension of Dynamic Mode Decomposition for dynamic systems with
incomplete information based on t-model of optimal prediction [69.81996031777717]
The Dynamic Mode Decomposition has proved to be a very efficient technique to study dynamic data.
The application of this approach becomes problematic if the available data is incomplete because some dimensions of smaller scale either missing or unmeasured.
We consider a first-order approximation of the Mori-Zwanzig decomposition, state the corresponding optimization problem and solve it with the gradient-based optimization method.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-23T11:23:59Z) - Learning Summary Statistics for Bayesian Inference with Autoencoders [58.720142291102135]
We use the inner dimension of deep neural network based Autoencoders as summary statistics.
To create an incentive for the encoder to encode all the parameter-related information but not the noise, we give the decoder access to explicit or implicit information that has been used to generate the training data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-01-28T12:00:31Z) - Learning Neural Causal Models with Active Interventions [83.44636110899742]
We introduce an active intervention-targeting mechanism which enables a quick identification of the underlying causal structure of the data-generating process.
Our method significantly reduces the required number of interactions compared with random intervention targeting.
We demonstrate superior performance on multiple benchmarks from simulated to real-world data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-09-06T13:10:37Z) - Extracting Governing Laws from Sample Path Data of Non-Gaussian
Stochastic Dynamical Systems [4.527698247742305]
We infer equations with non-Gaussian L'evy noise from available data to reasonably predict dynamical behaviors.
We establish a theoretical framework and design a numerical algorithm to compute the asymmetric L'evy jump measure, drift and diffusion.
This method will become an effective tool in discovering the governing laws from available data sets and in understanding the mechanisms underlying complex random phenomena.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-07-21T14:50:36Z) - Learning effective stochastic differential equations from microscopic
simulations: combining stochastic numerics and deep learning [0.46180371154032895]
We approximate drift and diffusivity functions in effective SDE through neural networks.
Our approach does not require long trajectories, works on scattered snapshot data, and is designed to naturally handle different time steps per snapshot.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-10T13:00:18Z) - Out-of-time-order correlations and the fine structure of eigenstate
thermalisation [58.720142291102135]
Out-of-time-orderors (OTOCs) have become established as a tool to characterise quantum information dynamics and thermalisation.
We show explicitly that the OTOC is indeed a precise tool to explore the fine details of the Eigenstate Thermalisation Hypothesis (ETH)
We provide an estimation of the finite-size scaling of $omega_textrmGOE$ for the general class of observables composed of sums of local operators in the infinite-temperature regime.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-01T17:51:46Z) - Leveraging Global Parameters for Flow-based Neural Posterior Estimation [90.21090932619695]
Inferring the parameters of a model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method.
A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e., when distinct sets of parameters yield identical observations.
We present a method for cracking such indeterminacy by exploiting additional information conveyed by an auxiliary set of observations sharing global parameters.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-12T12:23:13Z) - Multiplicative noise and heavy tails in stochastic optimization [62.993432503309485]
empirical optimization is central to modern machine learning, but its role in its success is still unclear.
We show that it commonly arises in parameters of discrete multiplicative noise due to variance.
A detailed analysis is conducted in which we describe on key factors, including recent step size, and data, all exhibit similar results on state-of-the-art neural network models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-11T09:58:01Z) - Optimal statistical inference in the presence of systematic
uncertainties using neural network optimization based on binned Poisson
likelihoods with nuisance parameters [0.0]
This work presents a novel strategy to construct the dimensionality reduction with neural networks for feature engineering.
We discuss how this approach results in an estimate of the parameters of interest that is close to optimal.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-03-16T13:27:18Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.