Plots Unlock Time-Series Understanding in Multimodal Models

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2410.02637v1
• Date: Thu, 3 Oct 2024 16:23:13 GMT
• Title: Plots Unlock Time-Series Understanding in Multimodal Models
• Authors: Mayank Daswani, Mathias M. J. Bellaiche, Marc Wilson, Desislav Ivanov, Mikhail Papkov, Eva Schnider, Jing Tang, Kay Lamerigts, Gabriela Botea, Michael A. Sanchez, Yojan Patel, Shruthi Prabhakara, Shravya Shetty, Umesh Telang,
• Abstract summary: This paper proposes a method that leverages the existing vision encoders of multimodal foundation models to "see" time-series data via plots. Our empirical evaluations show that this approach outperforms providing the raw time-series data as text. To demonstrate generalizability from synthetic tasks with clear reasoning steps to more complex, real-world scenarios, we apply our approach to consumer health tasks.
• Score: 5.792074027074628
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: While multimodal foundation models can now natively work with data beyond text, they remain underutilized in analyzing the considerable amounts of multi-dimensional time-series data in fields like healthcare, finance, and social sciences, representing a missed opportunity for richer, data-driven insights. This paper proposes a simple but effective method that leverages the existing vision encoders of these models to "see" time-series data via plots, avoiding the need for additional, potentially costly, model training. Our empirical evaluations show that this approach outperforms providing the raw time-series data as text, with the additional benefit that visual time-series representations demonstrate up to a 90% reduction in model API costs. We validate our hypothesis through synthetic data tasks of increasing complexity, progressing from simple functional form identification on clean data, to extracting trends from noisy scatter plots. To demonstrate generalizability from synthetic tasks with clear reasoning steps to more complex, real-world scenarios, we apply our approach to consumer health tasks - specifically fall detection, activity recognition, and readiness assessment - which involve heterogeneous, noisy data and multi-step reasoning. The overall success in plot performance over text performance (up to an 120% performance increase on zero-shot synthetic tasks, and up to 150% performance increase on real-world tasks), across both GPT and Gemini model families, highlights our approach's potential for making the best use of the native capabilities of foundation models.

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