Accurate Prediction of Temperature Indicators in Eastern China Using a Multi-Scale CNN-LSTM-Attention model
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2412.07997v1
- Date: Wed, 11 Dec 2024 00:42:31 GMT
- Title: Accurate Prediction of Temperature Indicators in Eastern China Using a Multi-Scale CNN-LSTM-Attention model
- Authors: Jiajiang Shen, Weiyan Wu, Qianyu Xu,
- Abstract summary: We propose a weather prediction model based on a multi-scale convolutional CNN-LSTM-Attention architecture.
The model integrates Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and attention mechanisms.
Experimental results show that the model performs excellently in predicting temperature trends with high accuracy.
- Score: 0.0
- License:
- Abstract: In recent years, the importance of accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly prominent due to the impacts of global climate change and the rapid development of data science. Traditional forecasting methods often struggle to handle the complexity and nonlinearity inherent in climate data. To address these challenges, we propose a weather prediction model based on a multi-scale convolutional CNN-LSTM-Attention architecture, specifically designed for time series forecasting of temperature data in China. The model integrates Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and attention mechanisms to leverage the strengths of spatial feature extraction, temporal sequence modeling, and the ability to focus on important features. The development process of the model includes data collection, preprocessing, feature extraction, and model building. Experimental results show that the model performs excellently in predicting temperature trends with high accuracy. The final computed results indicate that the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is 1.978295 and the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) is 0.8106562. This work marks a significant advancement in applying deep learning techniques to meteorological data, offering a valuable tool for improving weather forecasting accuracy and providing essential support for decision-making in areas such as urban planning, agriculture, and energy management.
Related papers
- Deep Learning for Weather Forecasting: A CNN-LSTM Hybrid Model for Predicting Historical Temperature Data [7.559331742876793]
This study introduces a hybrid model combining Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict historical temperature data.
CNNs are utilized for spatial feature extraction, while LSTMs handle temporal dependencies, resulting in significantly improved prediction accuracy and stability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-19T03:38:53Z) - Weather Prediction Using CNN-LSTM for Time Series Analysis: A Case Study on Delhi Temperature Data [0.0]
This study explores a hybrid CNN-LSTM model to enhance temperature forecasting accuracy for the Delhi region.
We employed both direct and indirect methods, including comprehensive data preprocessing and exploratory analysis, to construct and train our model.
Experimental results indicate that the CNN-LSTM model significantly outperforms traditional forecasting methods in terms of both accuracy and stability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-14T11:06:07Z) - MambaDS: Near-Surface Meteorological Field Downscaling with Topography Constrained Selective State Space Modeling [68.69647625472464]
Downscaling, a crucial task in meteorological forecasting, enables the reconstruction of high-resolution meteorological states for target regions.
Previous downscaling methods lacked tailored designs for meteorology and encountered structural limitations.
We propose a novel model called MambaDS, which enhances the utilization of multivariable correlations and topography information.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-08-20T13:45:49Z) - Leveraging data-driven weather models for improving numerical weather prediction skill through large-scale spectral nudging [1.747339718564314]
This study illustrates the relative strengths and weaknesses of physics-based and AI-based approaches to weather prediction.
A hybrid NWP-AI system is proposed, wherein GEM-predicted large-scale state variables are spectrally nudged toward GraphCast predictions.
Results indicate that this hybrid approach is capable of leveraging the strengths of GraphCast to enhance the prediction skill of the GEM model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-08T16:39:25Z) - Generalizing Weather Forecast to Fine-grained Temporal Scales via Physics-AI Hybrid Modeling [55.13352174687475]
This paper proposes a physics-AI hybrid model (i.e., WeatherGFT) which generalizes weather forecasts to finer-grained temporal scales beyond training dataset.
Specifically, we employ a carefully designed PDE kernel to simulate physical evolution on a small time scale.
We also introduce a lead time-aware training framework to promote the generalization of the model at different lead times.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-22T16:21:02Z) - Forecasting the Future with Future Technologies: Advancements in Large Meteorological Models [3.332582598089642]
The field of meteorological forecasting has undergone a significant transformation with the integration of large models.
Models like FourCastNet, Pangu-Weather, GraphCast, ClimaX, and FengWu have made notable contributions by providing accurate, high-resolution forecasts.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-10T00:52:54Z) - ExtremeCast: Boosting Extreme Value Prediction for Global Weather Forecast [57.6987191099507]
We introduce Exloss, a novel loss function that performs asymmetric optimization and highlights extreme values to obtain accurate extreme weather forecast.
We also introduce ExBooster, which captures the uncertainty in prediction outcomes by employing multiple random samples.
Our solution can achieve state-of-the-art performance in extreme weather prediction, while maintaining the overall forecast accuracy comparable to the top medium-range forecast models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-02T10:34:13Z) - FengWu-GHR: Learning the Kilometer-scale Medium-range Global Weather
Forecasting [56.73502043159699]
This work presents FengWu-GHR, the first data-driven global weather forecasting model running at the 0.09$circ$ horizontal resolution.
It introduces a novel approach that opens the door for operating ML-based high-resolution forecasts by inheriting prior knowledge from a low-resolution model.
The hindcast of weather prediction in 2022 indicates that FengWu-GHR is superior to the IFS-HRES.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-28T13:23:25Z) - FengWu-4DVar: Coupling the Data-driven Weather Forecasting Model with 4D Variational Assimilation [67.20588721130623]
We develop an AI-based cyclic weather forecasting system, FengWu-4DVar.
FengWu-4DVar can incorporate observational data into the data-driven weather forecasting model.
Experiments on the simulated observational dataset demonstrate that FengWu-4DVar is capable of generating reasonable analysis fields.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-16T02:07:56Z) - ClimaX: A foundation model for weather and climate [51.208269971019504]
ClimaX is a deep learning model for weather and climate science.
It can be pre-trained with a self-supervised learning objective on climate datasets.
It can be fine-tuned to address a breadth of climate and weather tasks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-01-24T23:19:01Z) - Improving data-driven global weather prediction using deep convolutional
neural networks on a cubed sphere [7.918783985810551]
We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN)
New developments in this framework include an offline volume-conservative mapping to a cubed-sphere grid.
Our model is able to learn to forecast complex surface temperature patterns from few input atmospheric state variables.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-03-15T19:57:34Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.