Replications, Revisions, and Reanalyses: Managing Variance Theories in Software Engineering
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2412.12634v1
- Date: Tue, 17 Dec 2024 07:56:18 GMT
- Title: Replications, Revisions, and Reanalyses: Managing Variance Theories in Software Engineering
- Abstract summary: Variance theories quantify the variance that one or more independent variables cause in a dependent variable.<n>In software engineering (SE), variance theories are used to quantify -- among others -- the impact of tools, techniques, and other treatments on software development outcomes.
- Score: 4.147594239309427
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Variance theories quantify the variance that one or more independent variables cause in a dependent variable. In software engineering (SE), variance theories are used to quantify -- among others -- the impact of tools, techniques, and other treatments on software development outcomes. To acquire variance theories, evidence from individual empirical studies needs to be synthesized to more generally valid conclusions. However, research synthesis in SE is mostly limited to meta-analysis, which requires homogeneity of the synthesized studies to infer generalizable variance. In this paper, we aim to extend the practice of research synthesis beyond meta-analysis. To this end, we derive a conceptual framework for the evolution of variance theories and demonstrate its use by applying it to an active research field in SE. The resulting framework allows researchers to put new evidence in a clear relation to an existing body of knowledge and systematically expand the scientific frontier of a studied phenomenon.
Related papers
- Replications, Revisions, and Reanalyses: Managing Empirical Evidence in Software Engineering [6.147136878250444]
validity of variance theories stems from the synthesis of multiple pieces of evidence.<n>Research synthesis in SE is rare and if done mostly limited to purely narrative syntheses.<n>We apply method engineering to construct a framework for research synthesis from proven, individual method fragments.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-09-05T08:57:53Z) - CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model [62.32138962508216]
Causal discovery is the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data.<n>We formulate the Causal Discovery Foundation Model (CDFM) as a unified, general-purpose framework for zero-shot structural inference.<n>CDFM consistently outperforms traditional algorithms, driving a paradigm shift toward a general-purpose causal discovery foundation model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-07-13T12:58:28Z) - On the Entropy Dynamics in Reinforcement Fine-Tuning of Large Language Models [54.61810451777578]
Entropy serves as a critical metric for measuring the diversity of outputs generated by large language models.<n>Recent studies increasingly focus on monitoring and adjusting entropy to better balance exploration and exploitation in reinforcement fine-tuning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-03T11:14:58Z) - Exploring the Garden of Forking Paths in Empirical Software Engineering Research: A Multiverse Analysis [3.6324565773746147]
We conduct a so-called multiverse analysis on a published empirical SE paper.<n>We identify nine pivotal analytical decisions with at least one equally defensible alternative.<n>The overwhelming majority produced qualitatively different, and sometimes even opposite, findings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-12-09T18:47:00Z) - Causal Representation Learning from Multimodal Biological Observations [57.00712157758845]
We aim to develop flexible identification conditions for multimodal data.
We establish identifiability guarantees for each latent component, extending the subspace identification results from prior work.
Our key theoretical ingredient is the structural sparsity of the causal connections among distinct modalities.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-10T16:40:27Z) - Hypothesizing Missing Causal Variables with LLMs [55.28678224020973]
We formulate a novel task where the input is a partial causal graph with missing variables, and the output is a hypothesis about the missing variables to complete the partial graph.
We show the strong ability of LLMs to hypothesize the mediation variables between a cause and its effect.
We also observe surprising results where some of the open-source models outperform the closed GPT-4 model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-04T10:37:44Z) - Bayesian Co-navigation: Dynamic Designing of the Materials Digital Twins via Active Learning [1.1057473962658189]
Integration of theory into automated and autonomous experimental setups is emerging as a crucial objective for accelerating scientific research.
Here, we introduce a method for integrating theory into the loop through Bayesian co-navigation of theoretical model space and experimentation.
While demonstrated here within the context of functional responses in ferroelectric materials, our approach holds promise for broader applications.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-19T14:11:32Z) - A Causal Framework for Decomposing Spurious Variations [68.12191782657437]
We develop tools for decomposing spurious variations in Markovian and Semi-Markovian models.
We prove the first results that allow a non-parametric decomposition of spurious effects.
The described approach has several applications, ranging from explainable and fair AI to questions in epidemiology and medicine.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-06-08T09:40:28Z) - A Diachronic Analysis of Paradigm Shifts in NLP Research: When, How, and
Why? [84.46288849132634]
We propose a systematic framework for analyzing the evolution of research topics in a scientific field using causal discovery and inference techniques.
We define three variables to encompass diverse facets of the evolution of research topics within NLP.
We utilize a causal discovery algorithm to unveil the causal connections among these variables using observational data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-22T11:08:00Z) - A Category-theoretical Meta-analysis of Definitions of Disentanglement [97.34033555407403]
Disentangling the factors of variation in data is a fundamental concept in machine learning.
This paper presents a meta-analysis of existing definitions of disentanglement.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-11T15:24:20Z) - A Causal Research Pipeline and Tutorial for Psychologists and Social
Scientists [7.106986689736828]
Causality is a fundamental part of the scientific endeavour to understand the world.
Unfortunately, causality is still taboo in much of psychology and social science.
Motivated by a growing number of recommendations for the importance of adopting causal approaches to research, we reformulate the typical approach to research in psychology to harmonize inevitably causal theories with the rest of the research pipeline.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-10T15:11:57Z) - Discovering Latent Causal Variables via Mechanism Sparsity: A New
Principle for Nonlinear ICA [81.4991350761909]
Independent component analysis (ICA) refers to an ensemble of methods which formalize this goal and provide estimation procedure for practical application.
We show that the latent variables can be recovered up to a permutation if one regularizes the latent mechanisms to be sparse.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-07-21T14:22:14Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.