SafeCast: Risk-Responsive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Vehicles

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2503.22541v1
• Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2025 15:38:21 GMT
• Title: SafeCast: Risk-Responsive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Vehicles
• Authors: Haicheng Liao, Hanlin Kong, Bin Rao, Bonan Wang, Chengyue Wang, Guyang Yu, Yuming Huang, Ruru Tang, Chengzhong Xu, Zhenning Li,
• Abstract summary: We present SafeCast, a risk-responsive motion forecasting model.<n>It integrates safety-aware decision-making with uncertainty-aware adaptability.<n>Our model achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) accuracy while maintaining a lightweight architecture and low inference latency.
• Score: 12.607007386467329
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: Accurate motion forecasting is essential for the safety and reliability of autonomous driving (AD) systems. While existing methods have made significant progress, they often overlook explicit safety constraints and struggle to capture the complex interactions among traffic agents, environmental factors, and motion dynamics. To address these challenges, we present SafeCast, a risk-responsive motion forecasting model that integrates safety-aware decision-making with uncertainty-aware adaptability. SafeCast is the first to incorporate the Responsibility-Sensitive Safety (RSS) framework into motion forecasting, encoding interpretable safety rules--such as safe distances and collision avoidance--based on traffic norms and physical principles. To further enhance robustness, we introduce the Graph Uncertainty Feature (GUF), a graph-based module that injects learnable noise into Graph Attention Networks, capturing real-world uncertainties and enhancing generalization across diverse scenarios. We evaluate SafeCast on four real-world benchmark datasets--Next Generation Simulation (NGSIM), Highway Drone (HighD), ApolloScape, and the Macao Connected Autonomous Driving (MoCAD)--covering highway, urban, and mixed-autonomy traffic environments. Our model achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) accuracy while maintaining a lightweight architecture and low inference latency, underscoring its potential for real-time deployment in safety-critical AD systems.

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