Can Artificial Intelligence Trade the Stock Market?
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2506.04658v1
- Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2025 05:59:10 GMT
- Title: Can Artificial Intelligence Trade the Stock Market?
- Authors: Jędrzej Maskiewicz, Paweł Sakowski,
- Abstract summary: The paper explores the use of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in stock market trading, focusing on two algorithms: Double Deep Q-Network (DDQN) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO)<n>It evaluates these algorithms across three currency pairs, the S&P 500 index and Bitcoin, on the daily data in the period of 2019-2023.<n>The results demonstrate DRL's effectiveness in trading and its ability to manage risk by strategically avoiding trades in unfavorable conditions.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: The paper explores the use of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in stock market trading, focusing on two algorithms: Double Deep Q-Network (DDQN) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and compares them with Buy and Hold benchmark. It evaluates these algorithms across three currency pairs, the S&P 500 index and Bitcoin, on the daily data in the period of 2019-2023. The results demonstrate DRL's effectiveness in trading and its ability to manage risk by strategically avoiding trades in unfavorable conditions, providing a substantial edge over classical approaches, based on supervised learning in terms of risk-adjusted returns.
Related papers
- Building crypto portfolios with agentic AI [46.348283638884425]
The rapid growth of crypto markets has opened new opportunities for investors, but at the same time exposed them to high volatility.<n>This paper presents a practical application of a multi-agent system designed to autonomously construct and evaluate crypto-asset allocations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-11T18:03:51Z) - Your Offline Policy is Not Trustworthy: Bilevel Reinforcement Learning for Sequential Portfolio Optimization [82.03139922490796]
Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown significant promise for sequential portfolio optimization tasks, such as stock trading, where the objective is to maximize cumulative returns while minimizing risks using historical data.<n>Traditional RL approaches often produce policies that merely memorize the optimal yet impractical buying and selling behaviors within the fixed dataset.<n>Our approach frames portfolio optimization as a new type of partial-offline RL problem and makes two technical contributions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-19T06:37:25Z) - Risk-averse policies for natural gas futures trading using distributional reinforcement learning [0.0]
This paper studies the effectiveness of three distributional RL algorithms for natural gas futures trading.<n>To the best of our knowledge, these algorithms have never been applied in a trading context.<n>We show that training C51 and IQN to maximize CVaR produces risk-sensitive policies with adjustable risk aversion.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-08T11:11:25Z) - Optimizing Portfolio with Two-Sided Transactions and Lending: A Reinforcement Learning Framework [0.0]
This study presents a Reinforcement Learning-based portfolio management model tailored for high-risk environments.
We implement the model using the Soft Actor-Critic (SAC) agent with a Convolutional Neural Network with Multi-Head Attention.
Tested over two 16-month periods of varying market volatility, the model significantly outperformed benchmarks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-08-09T23:36:58Z) - Explainable Post hoc Portfolio Management Financial Policy of a Deep Reinforcement Learning agent [44.99833362998488]
We develop a novel Explainable Deep Reinforcement Learning (XDRL) approach for portfolio management.
By executing our methodology, we can interpret in prediction time the actions of the agent to assess whether they follow the requisites of an investment policy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-19T17:40:39Z) - When AI Meets Finance (StockAgent): Large Language Model-based Stock Trading in Simulated Real-world Environments [55.19252983108372]
We have developed a multi-agent AI system called StockAgent, driven by LLMs.
The StockAgent allows users to evaluate the impact of different external factors on investor trading.
It avoids the test set leakage issue present in existing trading simulation systems based on AI Agents.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-15T06:49:30Z) - Cryptocurrency Portfolio Optimization by Neural Networks [81.20955733184398]
This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment products.
A deep neural network, which outputs the allocation weight of each asset at a time interval, is trained to maximize the Sharpe ratio.
A novel loss term is proposed to regulate the network's bias towards a specific asset, thus enforcing the network to learn an allocation strategy that is close to a minimum variance strategy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-02T12:33:28Z) - Algorithmic Trading Using Continuous Action Space Deep Reinforcement
Learning [11.516147824168732]
This paper aims to offer an approach using Twin-Delayed DDPG (TD3) and the daily close price in order to achieve a trading strategy in the stock and cryptocurrency markets.
Both the stock (Amazon) and cryptocurrency (Bitcoin) markets are addressed in this research to evaluate the performance of the proposed algorithm.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-07T11:42:31Z) - Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach for Trading Automation in The Stock
Market [0.0]
This paper presents a model to generate profitable trades in the stock market using Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) algorithms.
We formulate the trading problem as a Partially Observed Markov Decision Process (POMDP) model, considering the constraints imposed by the stock market.
We then solve the formulated POMDP problem using the Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (TD3) algorithm reporting a 2.68 Sharpe Ratio on unseen data set.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-07-05T11:34:29Z) - Deep Q-Learning Market Makers in a Multi-Agent Simulated Stock Market [58.720142291102135]
This paper focuses precisely on the study of these markets makers strategies from an agent-based perspective.
We propose the application of Reinforcement Learning (RL) for the creation of intelligent market markers in simulated stock markets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-12-08T14:55:21Z) - An Application of Deep Reinforcement Learning to Algorithmic Trading [4.523089386111081]
This scientific research paper presents an innovative approach based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to solve the algorithmic trading problem.
It proposes a novel DRL trading strategy so as to maximise the resulting Sharpe ratio performance indicator on a broad range of stock markets.
The training of the resulting reinforcement learning (RL) agent is entirely based on the generation of artificial trajectories from a limited set of stock market historical data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-04-07T14:57:23Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.