Forecasting Seismic Waveforms: A Deep Learning Approach for Einstein Telescope

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2509.21446v1
• Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2025 19:16:13 GMT
• Title: Forecasting Seismic Waveforms: A Deep Learning Approach for Einstein Telescope
• Authors: Waleed Esmail, Alexander Kappes, Stuart Russell, Christine Thomas,
• Abstract summary: We introduce textitSeismoGPT, a transformer-based model for forecasting three-component seismic waveforms in the context of future gravitational wave detectors like the Einstein Telescope.<n>By learning temporal and spatial dependencies directly from waveform data, SeismoGPT captures realistic ground motion patterns and provides accurate short-term forecasts.
• Score: 46.4942794596355
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: We introduce \textit{SeismoGPT}, a transformer-based model for forecasting three-component seismic waveforms in the context of future gravitational wave detectors like the Einstein Telescope. The model is trained in an autoregressive setting and can operate on both single-station and array-based inputs. By learning temporal and spatial dependencies directly from waveform data, SeismoGPT captures realistic ground motion patterns and provides accurate short-term forecasts. Our results show that the model performs well within the immediate prediction window and gradually degrades further ahead, as expected in autoregressive systems. This approach lays the groundwork for data-driven seismic forecasting that could support Newtonian noise mitigation and real-time observatory control.

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