ITPP: Learning Disentangled Event Dynamics in Marked Temporal Point Processes
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2511.06032v1
- Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2025 15:00:25 GMT
- Title: ITPP: Learning Disentangled Event Dynamics in Marked Temporal Point Processes
- Authors: Wang-Tao Zhou, Zhao Kang, Ke Yan, Ling Tian,
- Abstract summary: Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences by conditioning on the history of past events.<n>Most existing MTPP models rely on channel-mixing strategies that encode information from different event types into a single, fixed-size latent representation.<n>In this work, we introduce ITPP, a novel channel-independent architecture for MTPP modeling that decouples event type information using an encoder-decoder framework with an ODE-based backbone.
- Score: 15.224545514789819
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences by conditioning on the history of past events. However, most existing MTPP models rely on channel-mixing strategies that encode information from different event types into a single, fixed-size latent representation. This entanglement can obscure type-specific dynamics, leading to performance degradation and increased risk of overfitting. In this work, we introduce ITPP, a novel channel-independent architecture for MTPP modeling that decouples event type information using an encoder-decoder framework with an ODE-based backbone. Central to ITPP is a type-aware inverted self-attention mechanism, designed to explicitly model inter-channel correlations among heterogeneous event types. This architecture enhances effectiveness and robustness while reducing overfitting. Comprehensive experiments on multiple real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that ITPP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art MTPP models in both predictive accuracy and generalization.
Related papers
- UniDiff: A Unified Diffusion Framework for Multimodal Time Series Forecasting [90.47915032778366]
We propose UniDiff, a unified diffusion framework for multimodal time series forecasting.<n>At its core lies a unified and parallel fusion module, where a single cross-attention mechanism integrates structural information from timestamps and semantic context from texts.<n>Experiments on real-world benchmark datasets across eight domains demonstrate that the proposed UniDiff model achieves state-of-the-art performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-12-08T05:36:14Z) - Adapformer: Adaptive Channel Management for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting [49.40321003932633]
Adapformer is an advanced Transformer-based framework that merges the benefits of CI and CD methodologies through effective channel management.<n>Adapformer achieves superior performance over existing models, enhancing both predictive accuracy and computational efficiency.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-11-18T16:24:05Z) - Speculative Sampling for Parametric Temporal Point Processes [9.15731236208975]
temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences.<n>They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from the previous events.<n>We propose a novel algorithm based on rejection sampling that enables exact sampling of multiple future values from existing TPP models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-22T21:20:26Z) - Towards Efficient General Feature Prediction in Masked Skeleton Modeling [59.46799426434277]
We propose a novel General Feature Prediction framework (GFP) for efficient mask skeleton modeling.<n>Our key innovation is replacing conventional low-level reconstruction with high-level feature prediction that spans from local motion patterns to global semantic representations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-03T18:05:02Z) - Learning Time-Aware Causal Representation for Model Generalization in Evolving Domains [50.66049136093248]
We develop a time-aware structural causal model (SCM) that incorporates dynamic causal factors and the causal mechanism drifts.<n>We show that our method can yield the optimal causal predictor for each time domain.<n>Results on both synthetic and real-world datasets exhibit that SYNC can achieve superior temporal generalization performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-21T14:05:37Z) - Marked Temporal Bayesian Flow Point Processes [32.04732953059373]
Marked event data captures events by recording their continuous-valued occurrence timestamps along with their corresponding discrete-valued types.
In this paper, we propose a novel generative MTPP model called BMTPP.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-25T12:32:43Z) - Steering Masked Discrete Diffusion Models via Discrete Denoising Posterior Prediction [88.65168366064061]
We introduce Discrete Denoising Posterior Prediction (DDPP), a novel framework that casts the task of steering pre-trained MDMs as a problem of probabilistic inference.
Our framework leads to a family of three novel objectives that are all simulation-free, and thus scalable.
We substantiate our designs via wet-lab validation, where we observe transient expression of reward-optimized protein sequences.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-10T17:18:30Z) - TPP-LLM: Modeling Temporal Point Processes by Efficiently Fine-Tuning Large Language Models [0.0]
Temporal point processes (TPPs) are widely used to model the timing and occurrence of events in domains such as social networks, transportation systems, and e-commerce.<n>We introduce TPP-LLM, a novel framework that integrates large language models (LLMs) with TPPs to capture both the semantic and temporal aspects of event sequences.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-02T22:17:24Z) - Cumulative Distribution Function based General Temporal Point Processes [49.758080415846884]
CuFun model represents a novel approach to TPPs that revolves around the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
Our approach addresses several critical issues inherent in traditional TPP modeling.
Our contributions encompass the introduction of a pioneering CDF-based TPP model, the development of a methodology for incorporating past event information into future event prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-01T07:21:30Z) - Enhancing Asynchronous Time Series Forecasting with Contrastive
Relational Inference [21.51753838306655]
Temporal point processes(TPPs) are the standard method for modeling such.
Existing TPP models have focused on the conditional distribution of future events instead of explicitly modeling event interactions, imposing challenges for event predictions.
We propose a novel approach that leverages a Neural Inference (NRI) to learn a graph that infers interactions while simultaneously learning dynamics patterns from observational data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-06T09:47:03Z) - Continuous-time convolutions model of event sequences [46.3471121117337]
Event sequences are non-uniform and sparse, making traditional models unsuitable.
We propose COTIC, a method based on an efficient convolution neural network designed to handle the non-uniform occurrence of events over time.
COTIC outperforms existing models in predicting the next event time and type, achieving an average rank of 1.5 compared to 3.714 for the nearest competitor.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-13T10:34:51Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.