Operational machine learning for remote spectroscopic detection of CH$_{4}$ point sources

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2511.07719v1
• Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2025 01:12:43 GMT
• Title: Operational machine learning for remote spectroscopic detection of CH$_{4}$ point sources
• Authors: Vít Růžička, Gonzalo Mateo-García, Itziar Irakulis-Loitxate, Juan Emmanuel Johnson, Manuel Montesino San Martín, Anna Allen, Luis Guanter, David R. Thompson,
• Abstract summary: Mitigating anthropogenic methane sources is one of the most cost-effective levers to slow down global warming.<n>Current methane retrieval methods based on matched filters still produce a high number of false detections.<n>This paper describes the operational deployment of a machine learning system for detecting methane emissions.
• Score: 1.0934673357973288
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: Mitigating anthropogenic methane sources is one the most cost-effective levers to slow down global warming. While satellite-based imaging spectrometers, such as EMIT, PRISMA, and EnMAP, can detect these point sources, current methane retrieval methods based on matched filters still produce a high number of false detections requiring laborious manual verification. This paper describes the operational deployment of a machine learning system for detecting methane emissions within the Methane Alert and Response System (MARS) of the United Nations Environment Programme's International Methane Emissions Observatory. We created the largest and most diverse global dataset of annotated methane plumes from three imaging spectrometer missions and quantitatively compared different deep learning model configurations. Focusing on the requirements for operational deployment, we extended prior evaluation methodologies from small tiled datasets to full granule evaluation. This revealed that deep learning models still produce a large number of false detections, a problem we address with model ensembling, which reduced false detections by over 74%. Deployed in the MARS pipeline, our system processes scenes and proposes plumes to analysts, accelerating the detection and analysis process. During seven months of operational deployment, it facilitated the verification of 1,351 distinct methane leaks, resulting in 479 stakeholder notifications. We further demonstrate the model's utility in verifying mitigation success through case studies in Libya, Argentina, Oman, and Azerbaijan. Our work represents a critical step towards a global AI-assisted methane leak detection system, which is required to process the dramatically higher data volumes expected from new and current imaging spectrometers.

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