SafeBench-Seq: A Homology-Clustered, CPU-Only Baseline for Protein Hazard Screening with Physicochemical/Composition Features and Cluster-Aware Confidence Intervals
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2512.17527v1
- Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2025 12:51:31 GMT
- Title: SafeBench-Seq: A Homology-Clustered, CPU-Only Baseline for Protein Hazard Screening with Physicochemical/Composition Features and Cluster-Aware Confidence Intervals
- Authors: Muhammad Haris Khan,
- Abstract summary: We introduce SafeBench-Seq, a metadata-only, reproducible benchmark and baseline classifier built entirely from public data.<n>To approximate "never-before-seen" threats, we homology-cluster the combined dataset at =40% identity and perform cluster-level holdouts.<n>We report discrimination (AUROC/AUPRC) and screening-operating points (TPR@1% FPR; FPR@95% TPR) with 95% bootstrap confidence intervals (n=200)<n>We quantify probability quality using Brier score, Expected Error (ECE); 15 bins, and reliability diagrams.
- Score: 26.81598226089532
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Foundation models for protein design raise concrete biosecurity risks, yet the community lacks a simple, reproducible baseline for sequence-level hazard screening that is explicitly evaluated under homology control and runs on commodity CPUs. We introduce SafeBench-Seq, a metadata-only, reproducible benchmark and baseline classifier built entirely from public data (SafeProtein hazards and UniProt benigns) and interpretable features (global physicochemical descriptors and amino-acid composition). To approximate "never-before-seen" threats, we homology-cluster the combined dataset at <=40% identity and perform cluster-level holdouts (no cluster overlap between train/test). We report discrimination (AUROC/AUPRC) and screening-operating points (TPR@1% FPR; FPR@95% TPR) with 95% bootstrap confidence intervals (n=200), and we provide calibrated probabilities via CalibratedClassifierCV (isotonic for Logistic Regression / Random Forest; Platt sigmoid for Linear SVM). We quantify probability quality using Brier score, Expected Calibration Error (ECE; 15 bins), and reliability diagrams. Shortcut susceptibility is probed via composition-preserving residue shuffles and length-/composition-only ablations. Empirically, random splits substantially overestimate robustness relative to homology-clustered evaluation; calibrated linear models exhibit comparatively good calibration, while tree ensembles retain slightly higher Brier/ECE. SafeBench-Seq is CPU-only, reproducible, and releases metadata only (accessions, cluster IDs, split labels), enabling rigorous evaluation without distributing hazardous sequences.
Related papers
- A Confidence-Variance Theory for Pseudo-Label Selection in Semi-Supervised Learning [15.149171763610662]
This paper introduces a Confidence-Variance (CoVar) theory framework that provides a principled joint reliability criterion for pseudo-label selection.<n>We show that reliable pseudo-labels should have both high MC and low RCV, and that the influence of RCV increases as confidence grows.<n>We integrate CoVar as a plug-in module into representative semi-supervised semantic segmentation and image classification methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-16T02:51:59Z) - Statistical Inference for Fuzzy Clustering [7.416766339318596]
Fuzzy $c$-means (FCM) allow mixed memberships and better capture uncertainty and gradual transitions.<n>We develop a new framework for weighted fuzzy $c$-means (WFCM) for settings with potential cluster size imbalance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-06T02:11:01Z) - Geometric Calibration and Neutral Zones for Uncertainty-Aware Multi-Class Classification [0.0]
This work bridges information geometry and statistical learning, offering formal guarantees for uncertainty-aware classification in applications requiring rigorous validation.<n> Empirical validation on Adeno-Associated Virus classification demonstrates that the two-stage framework captures 72.5% of errors while deferring 34.5% of samples, reducing automated decision error rates from 16.8% to 6.9%.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-11-26T01:29:49Z) - Unsupervised Conformal Inference: Bootstrapping and Alignment to Control LLM Uncertainty [49.19257648205146]
We propose an unsupervised conformal inference framework for generation.<n>Our gates achieve close-to-nominal coverage and provide tighter, more stable thresholds than split UCP.<n>The result is a label-free, API-compatible gate for test-time filtering.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-26T23:40:47Z) - Post-Hoc Split-Point Self-Consistency Verification for Efficient, Unified Quantification of Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Deep Learning [5.996056764788456]
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is vital for trustworthy deep learning, yet existing methods are either computationally intensive or provide only partial, task-specific estimates.<n>We propose a post-hoc single-forward-pass framework that jointly captures aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty without modifying or retraining pretrained models.<n>Our method applies emphSplit-Point Analysis (SPA) to decompose predictive residuals into upper and lower subsets, computing emphMean Absolute Residuals (MARs) on each side.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-16T17:16:01Z) - Trusted Uncertainty in Large Language Models: A Unified Framework for Confidence Calibration and Risk-Controlled Refusal [31.458406135473805]
We present UniCR, a unified framework that turns heterogeneous uncertainty evidence into a calibrated probability of correctness.<n>UniCR learns a lightweight calibration head with temperature scaling and proper scoring.<n>Experiments on short-form QA, code generation with execution tests, and retrieval-augmented long-form QA show consistent improvements in calibration metrics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-01T13:14:58Z) - COIN: Uncertainty-Guarding Selective Question Answering for Foundation Models with Provable Risk Guarantees [51.5976496056012]
COIN is an uncertainty-guarding selection framework that calibrates statistically valid thresholds to filter a single generated answer per question.<n>COIN estimates the empirical error rate on a calibration set and applies confidence interval methods to establish a high-probability upper bound on the true error rate.<n>We demonstrate COIN's robustness in risk control, strong test-time power in retaining admissible answers, and predictive efficiency under limited calibration data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-25T07:04:49Z) - Robust Conformal Prediction with a Single Binary Certificate [58.450154976190795]
Conformal prediction (CP) converts any model's output to prediction sets with a guarantee to cover the true label with (adjustable) high probability.<n>We propose a robust conformal prediction that produces smaller sets even with significantly lower MC samples.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-07T08:41:53Z) - Evaluating Probabilistic Classifiers: The Triptych [62.997667081978825]
We propose and study a triptych of diagnostic graphics that focus on distinct and complementary aspects of forecast performance.
The reliability diagram addresses calibration, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve diagnoses discrimination ability, and the Murphy diagram visualizes overall predictive performance and value.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-01-25T19:35:23Z) - Evaluating probabilistic classifiers: Reliability diagrams and score
decompositions revisited [68.8204255655161]
We introduce the CORP approach, which generates provably statistically Consistent, Optimally binned, and Reproducible reliability diagrams in an automated way.
Corpor is based on non-parametric isotonic regression and implemented via the Pool-adjacent-violators (PAV) algorithm.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-08-07T08:22:26Z) - Certified Robustness to Label-Flipping Attacks via Randomized Smoothing [105.91827623768724]
Machine learning algorithms are susceptible to data poisoning attacks.
We present a unifying view of randomized smoothing over arbitrary functions.
We propose a new strategy for building classifiers that are pointwise-certifiably robust to general data poisoning attacks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-02-07T21:28:30Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.