When Life Gives You AI, Will You Turn It Into A Market for Lemons? Understanding How Information Asymmetries About AI System Capabilities Affect Market Outcomes and Adoption

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21650v1
• Date: Thu, 29 Jan 2026 12:49:28 GMT
• Title: When Life Gives You AI, Will You Turn It Into A Market for Lemons? Understanding How Information Asymmetries About AI System Capabilities Affect Market Outcomes and Adoption
• Authors: Alexander Erlei, Federico Cau, Radoslav Georgiev, Sagar Kumar, Kilian Bizer, Ujwal Gadiraju,
• Abstract summary: Complex AI systems can appear highly accurate while making costly errors or embedding hidden defects.<n>This paper provides the first experimental evidence on the role of information asymmetries and disclosure designs in shaping user adoption of AI systems.
• Score: 45.10829096284761
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: AI consumer markets are characterized by severe buyer-supplier market asymmetries. Complex AI systems can appear highly accurate while making costly errors or embedding hidden defects. While there have been regulatory efforts surrounding different forms of disclosure, large information gaps remain. This paper provides the first experimental evidence on the important role of information asymmetries and disclosure designs in shaping user adoption of AI systems. We systematically vary the density of low-quality AI systems and the depth of disclosure requirements in a simulated AI product market to gauge how people react to the risk of accidentally relying on a low-quality AI system. Then, we compare participants' choices to a rational Bayesian model, analyzing the degree to which partial information disclosure can improve AI adoption. Our results underscore the deleterious effects of information asymmetries on AI adoption, but also highlight the potential of partial disclosure designs to improve the overall efficiency of human decision-making.

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