Robust Unscented Kalman Filtering via Recurrent Meta-Adaptation of Sigma-Point Weights
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04360v1
- Date: Wed, 04 Mar 2026 18:27:59 GMT
- Title: Robust Unscented Kalman Filtering via Recurrent Meta-Adaptation of Sigma-Point Weights
- Authors: Kenan Majewski, Michał Modzelewski, Marcin Żugaj, Piotr Lichota,
- Abstract summary: This work introduces the Meta-Adaptive UKF (MA-UKF), a framework that reformulates sigma-point weight as a hyper parameter optimization problem.<n>Unlike standard adaptive filters that rely on instantaneous corrections, our approach employs a Recurrent Context to compress the history of measurement innovations into a compact latent embedding.<n> Numerical benchmarks on maneuvering targets demonstrate that the MA-UKF significantly outperforms standard baselines.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is a ubiquitous tool for nonlinear state estimation; however, its performance is limited by the static parameterization of the Unscented Transform (UT). Conventional weighting schemes, governed by fixed scaling parameters, assume implicit Gaussianity and fail to adapt to time-varying dynamics or heavy-tailed measurement noise. This work introduces the Meta-Adaptive UKF (MA-UKF), a framework that reformulates sigma-point weight synthesis as a hyperparameter optimization problem addressed via memory-augmented meta-learning. Unlike standard adaptive filters that rely on instantaneous heuristic corrections, our approach employs a Recurrent Context Encoder to compress the history of measurement innovations into a compact latent embedding. This embedding informs a policy network that dynamically synthesizes the mean and covariance weights of the sigma points at each time step, effectively governing the filter's trust in the prediction versus the measurement. By optimizing the system end-to-end through the filter's recursive logic, the MA-UKF learns to maximize tracking accuracy while maintaining estimation consistency. Numerical benchmarks on maneuvering targets demonstrate that the MA-UKF significantly outperforms standard baselines, exhibiting superior robustness to non-Gaussian glint noise and effective generalization to out-of-distribution (OOD) dynamic regimes unseen during training.
Related papers
- Conditional Normalizing Flows for Forward and Backward Joint State and Parameter Estimation [0.0]
This study reviews recent approaches to normalizing state estimation via nonlinear filtering.<n>We investigate the performance of these approaches on applications relevant to autonomous driving and patient population dynamics.<n>Finally, we assess the performance of various conditioning strategies for an application to real-world COVID-19 joint SIR system forecasting and estimation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-11T18:01:42Z) - MaP: A Unified Framework for Reliable Evaluation of Pre-training Dynamics [72.00014675808228]
Instability in Large Language Models evaluation process obscures true learning dynamics.<n>We introduce textbfMaP, a framework that integrates underlineMerging underlineand the underlinePass@k metric.<n>Experiments show that MaP yields significantly smoother performance curves, reduces inter-run variance, and ensures more consistent rankings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-10T11:40:27Z) - Adaptive Bayesian Optimization for Robust Identification of Stochastic Dynamical Systems [4.0148499400442095]
This paper deals with the identification of linear derivation systems, where the unknowns include system coefficients and noise variances.<n>A sample-efficient global optimization method based on Bayesian optimization is proposed.<n>Experiments show that the EGP-based BO consistently outperforms MLE via steady-state filtering and expectation-maximization.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-09T01:38:21Z) - SeWA: Selective Weight Average via Probabilistic Masking [51.015724517293236]
We show that only a few points are needed to achieve better and faster convergence.<n>We transform the discrete selection problem into a continuous subset optimization framework.<n>We derive the SeWA's stability bounds, which are sharper than that under both convex image checkpoints.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-14T12:35:21Z) - Transformers as Implicit State Estimators: In-Context Learning in Dynamical Systems [18.634960596074027]
We show that transformers can implicitly infer hidden states in order to predict the outputs of a wide family of dynamical systems.<n>Findings suggest that transformer in-context learning provides a flexible, non-parametric alternative for output prediction in dynamical systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-21T22:18:10Z) - Joint State Estimation and Noise Identification Based on Variational
Optimization [8.536356569523127]
A novel adaptive Kalman filter method based on conjugate-computation variational inference, referred to as CVIAKF, is proposed.
The effectiveness of CVIAKF is validated through synthetic and real-world datasets of maneuvering target tracking.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-15T07:47:03Z) - Ensemble Kalman Filtering Meets Gaussian Process SSM for Non-Mean-Field and Online Inference [47.460898983429374]
We introduce an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) into the non-mean-field (NMF) variational inference framework to approximate the posterior distribution of the latent states.
This novel marriage between EnKF and GPSSM not only eliminates the need for extensive parameterization in learning variational distributions, but also enables an interpretable, closed-form approximation of the evidence lower bound (ELBO)
We demonstrate that the resulting EnKF-aided online algorithm embodies a principled objective function by ensuring data-fitting accuracy while incorporating model regularizations to mitigate overfitting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-10T15:22:30Z) - FedNAR: Federated Optimization with Normalized Annealing Regularization [54.42032094044368]
We explore the choices of weight decay and identify that weight decay value appreciably influences the convergence of existing FL algorithms.
We develop Federated optimization with Normalized Annealing Regularization (FedNAR), a plug-in that can be seamlessly integrated into any existing FL algorithms.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-04T21:11:40Z) - Outlier-Insensitive Kalman Filtering Using NUV Priors [24.413595920205907]
In practice, observations are corrupted by outliers, severely impairing the Kalman filter (KF)s performance.
In this work, an outlier-insensitive KF is proposed, where is achieved by modeling each potential outlier as a normally distributed random variable with unknown variance (NUV)
The NUVs variances are estimated online, using both expectation-maximization (EM) and alternating robustness (AM)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-12T11:00:13Z) - Robust Value Iteration for Continuous Control Tasks [99.00362538261972]
When transferring a control policy from simulation to a physical system, the policy needs to be robust to variations in the dynamics to perform well.
We present Robust Fitted Value Iteration, which uses dynamic programming to compute the optimal value function on the compact state domain.
We show that robust value is more robust compared to deep reinforcement learning algorithm and the non-robust version of the algorithm.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-05-25T19:48:35Z) - Positive-Negative Momentum: Manipulating Stochastic Gradient Noise to
Improve Generalization [89.7882166459412]
gradient noise (SGN) acts as implicit regularization for deep learning.
Some works attempted to artificially simulate SGN by injecting random noise to improve deep learning.
For simulating SGN at low computational costs and without changing the learning rate or batch size, we propose the Positive-Negative Momentum (PNM) approach.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-31T16:08:06Z) - Gaussian Process-based Min-norm Stabilizing Controller for
Control-Affine Systems with Uncertain Input Effects and Dynamics [90.81186513537777]
We propose a novel compound kernel that captures the control-affine nature of the problem.
We show that this resulting optimization problem is convex, and we call it Gaussian Process-based Control Lyapunov Function Second-Order Cone Program (GP-CLF-SOCP)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-14T01:27:32Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.