Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04418v1
- Date: Fri, 13 Feb 2026 20:42:49 GMT
- Title: Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting
- Abstract summary: We propose a frequency-enhanced training objective that extends supervision to the model-temporal spectrum.<n>FreST aligns predictions with ground truth in a unified spectral domain, effectively decorrelating complex dependencies across both space and time.
- Score: 2.502143380601666
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Standard direct forecasting models typically rely on point-wise objectives such as Mean Squared Error, which fail to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependencies inherent in graph-structured signals. While recent frequency-domain approaches such as FreDF mitigate temporal autocorrelation, they often overlook spatial and cross spatio-temporal interactions. To address this limitation, we propose FreST Loss, a frequency-enhanced spatio-temporal training objective that extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum. By leveraging the Joint Fourier Transform (JFT), FreST Loss aligns model predictions with ground truth in a unified spectral domain, effectively decorrelating complex dependencies across both space and time. Theoretical analysis shows that this formulation reduces estimation bias associated with time-domain training objectives. Extensive experiments on six real-world datasets demonstrate that FreST Loss is model-agnostic and consistently improves state-of-the-art baselines by better capturing holistic spatio-temporal dynamics.
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