Generalized Stock Price Prediction for Multiple Stocks Combined with News Fusion
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.19286v1
- Date: Sun, 08 Mar 2026 09:05:10 GMT
- Title: Generalized Stock Price Prediction for Multiple Stocks Combined with News Fusion
- Abstract summary: This paper introduces an approach that integrates Large Language Models (LLMs) with daily financial news for stock price prediction.<n>We encode news articles using a pre-trained LLM and implement three attention-based pooling techniques to filter news based on stock relevance.<n> Experimental results demonstrate a 7.11% reduction in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) compared to the baseline.
- Score: 55.80546131166094
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Predicting stock prices presents challenges in financial forecasting. While traditional approaches such as ARIMA and RNNs are prevalent, recent developments in Large Language Models (LLMs) offer alternative methodologies. This paper introduces an approach that integrates LLMs with daily financial news for stock price prediction. To address the challenge of processing news data and identifying relevant content, we utilize stock name embeddings within attention mechanisms. Specifically, we encode news articles using a pre-trained LLM and implement three attention-based pooling techniques -- self-attentive, cross-attentive, and position-aware self-attentive pooling -- to filter news based on stock relevance. The filtered news embeddings, combined with historical stock prices, serve as inputs to the prediction model. Unlike prior studies that focus on individual stocks, our method trains a single generalized model applicable across multiple stocks. Experimental results demonstrate a 7.11% reduction in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) compared to the baseline, indicating the utility of stock name embeddings for news filtering and price forecasting within a generalized framework.
Related papers
- $φ$-DPO: Fairness Direct Preference Optimization Approach to Continual Learning in Large Multimodal Models [58.217707070069885]
This paper presents a novel Fairness Direct Preference Optimization (FaiDPO or $$-DPO) framework for continual learning in LMMs.<n>We first propose a new continual learning paradigm based on Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) to mitigate catastrophic forgetting by aligning learning with pairwise preference signals.<n> Extensive experiments and ablation studies show the proposed $$-DPO achieves State-of-the-Art performance across multiple benchmarks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-26T04:14:33Z) - PriceSeer: Evaluating Large Language Models in Real-Time Stock Prediction [47.70107097572211]
We introduce PriceSeer, a benchmark specifically designed for large language models performing stock prediction tasks.<n>PriceSeer includes 110 U.S. stocks from 11 industrial sectors, with each containing 249 historical data points.<n>We evaluate six cutting-edge LLMs under different prediction horizons, demonstrating their potential in generating investment strategies.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-12-31T08:35:46Z) - Your AI, Not Your View: The Bias of LLMs in Investment Analysis [62.388554963415906]
In finance, Large Language Models (LLMs) face frequent knowledge conflicts arising from discrepancies between their pre-trained parametric knowledge and real-time market data.<n>These conflicts are especially problematic in real-world investment services, where a model's inherent biases can misalign with institutional objectives.<n>We propose an experimental framework to investigate emergent behaviors in such conflict scenarios, offering a quantitative analysis of bias in investment analysis.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-28T16:09:38Z) - Multimodal Stock Price Prediction [0.0]
It has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction.<n>This paper explores a multimodal machine learning approach for stock price prediction by combining data from diverse sources, including traditional financial metrics, tweets, and news articles.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-23T16:38:46Z) - FinGPT: Enhancing Sentiment-Based Stock Movement Prediction with Dissemination-Aware and Context-Enriched LLMs [8.303827622646086]
We propose a data-driven approach that enhances sentiment-based stock movement predictions by incorporating news dissemination breadth, contextual data, and explicit instructions.<n>Our approach improves prediction accuracy by 8% compared to existing methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-12-14T13:04:42Z) - AI in Investment Analysis: LLMs for Equity Stock Ratings [0.2916558661202724]
This paper explores the application of Large Language Models (LLMs) to generate multi-horizon stock ratings.
Our study addresses these issues by leveraging LLMs to improve the accuracy and consistency of stock ratings.
Our results show that our benchmark method outperforms traditional stock rating methods when assessed by forward returns.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-30T15:06:57Z) - Enhancing Few-Shot Stock Trend Prediction with Large Language Models [9.439423168290011]
Existing methods mostly focus on predicting stock trends with supervised models trained on extensive annotated data.
We propose using Large Language Models (LLMs) in a few-shot setting to overcome the scarcity of labeled data.
Our method achieves 66.59% accuracy in S&P 500, 62.17% in CSI-100, and 61.17% in HK stock prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-12T05:43:11Z) - Natural Language Processing and Multimodal Stock Price Prediction [0.8702432681310401]
This paper utilizes stock percentage change as training data, in contrast to the traditional use of raw currency values.
The choice of percentage change aims to provide models with context regarding the significance of price fluctuations.
The study employs specialized BERT natural language processing models to predict stock price trends.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-03T01:21:30Z) - Diffusion Variational Autoencoder for Tackling Stochasticity in
Multi-Step Regression Stock Price Prediction [54.21695754082441]
Multi-step stock price prediction over a long-term horizon is crucial for forecasting its volatility.
Current solutions to multi-step stock price prediction are mostly designed for single-step, classification-based predictions.
We combine a deep hierarchical variational-autoencoder (VAE) and diffusion probabilistic techniques to do seq2seq stock prediction.
Our model is shown to outperform state-of-the-art solutions in terms of its prediction accuracy and variance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-18T16:21:15Z) - Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models [48.87381259980254]
We document the capability of large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT to predict stock market reactions from news headlines without direct financial training.<n>Using post-knowledge-cutoff headlines, GPT-4 captures initial market responses, achieving approximately 90% portfolio-day hit rates for the non-tradable initial reaction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-15T19:22:37Z) - HIST: A Graph-based Framework for Stock Trend Forecasting via Mining
Concept-Oriented Shared Information [73.40830291141035]
Several methods were recently proposed to mine the shared information through stock concepts extracted from the Web to improve the forecasting results.
Previous work assumes the connections between stocks and concepts are stationary, and neglects the dynamic relevance between stocks and concepts.
We propose a novel stock trend forecasting framework that can adequately mine the concept-oriented shared information from predefined concepts and hidden concepts.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-26T14:04:04Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.