Predicting Power-System Dynamic Trajectories with Foundation Models
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.14991v1
- Date: Thu, 16 Apr 2026 13:19:55 GMT
- Title: Predicting Power-System Dynamic Trajectories with Foundation Models
- Abstract summary: This paper proposes LArge Scale Small ODE (LASS)-ODE-Power, a learning framework for general-purpose time-domain prediction.<n>The proposed approach leverages large-scale pretraining on more than 40 GB of DAE or ordinary differential-equation (ODE) trajectories to learn transferable representations.<n>Experiments over diverse power-system simulation scenarios demonstrate that LASS-ODE-Power consistently outperforms existing learning-based models in trajectory prediction accuracy.
- Score: 15.204028213517185
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: As power systems transition toward renewable-rich and inverter-dominated operations, accurate time-domain dynamic analysis becomes increasingly critical. Such analysis supports key operational tasks, including transient stability assessment, dynamic security analysis, contingency screening, and post-fault trajectory evaluation. In practice, these tasks may operate under several challenges, including unknown and time-varying system parameters, privacy constraints on data sharing, and the need for fast online inference. Existing learning-based approaches are typically trained for individual systems and therefore lack generalization across operating conditions and physical parameters. Hence, this paper proposes LArge Scale Small ODE (LASS)-ODE-Power, a learning framework for general-purpose time-domain prediction. The proposed approach leverages large-scale pretraining on more than 40 GB of DAE or ordinary differential-equation (ODE) trajectories to learn transferable representations. The resulting model supports trajectory prediction from short measurement prefixes across diverse dynamic regimes, including electromechanical and inverter-driven systems. Hence, the model can be directly used without data sharing in a zero-shot setting. In addition, the proposed architecture incorporates parallel and linearized computation to achieve fast inference. Moreover, to enhance task-specific performance in power systems, a specialized fine-tuning strategy is developed based on approximately 1 GB of heterogeneous power-system dynamic data. Extensive experiments over diverse power-system simulation scenarios demonstrate that LASS-ODE-Power consistently outperforms existing learning-based models in trajectory prediction accuracy with efficient inference.
Related papers
- From Physics to Machine Learning and Back: Part II - Learning and Observational Bias in PHM [52.64097278841485]
Review examines how incorporating learning and observational biases through physics-informed modeling and data strategies can guide models toward physically consistent and reliable predictions.<n>Fast adaptation methods including meta-learning and few-shot learning are reviewed alongside domain generalization techniques.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-25T14:15:43Z) - Beyond Static Models: Hypernetworks for Adaptive and Generalizable Forecasting in Complex Parametric Dynamical Systems [0.0]
We introduce the Parametric Hypernetwork for Learning Interpolated Networks (PHLieNet)<n>PHLieNet simultaneously learns a global mapping from the parameter space to a nonlinear embedding and a mapping from the inferred embedding to the weights of a dynamics propagation network.<n>By interpolating in the space of models rather than observations, PHLieNet facilitates smooth transitions across parameterized system behaviors.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-24T13:22:49Z) - PMNO: A novel physics guided multi-step neural operator predictor for partial differential equations [23.04840527974364]
We propose a novel physics guided multi-step neural operator (PMNO) architecture to address challenges in long-horizon prediction of complex physical systems.<n>The PMNO framework replaces the single-step input with multi-step historical data in the forward pass and introduces an implicit time-stepping scheme during backpropagation.<n>We demonstrate the superior predictive performance of PMNO predictor across a diverse range of physical systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-02T12:33:50Z) - Efficient Transformed Gaussian Process State-Space Models for Non-Stationary High-Dimensional Dynamical Systems [49.819436680336786]
We propose an efficient transformed Gaussian process state-space model (ETGPSSM) for scalable and flexible modeling of high-dimensional, non-stationary dynamical systems.<n>Specifically, our ETGPSSM integrates a single shared GP with input-dependent normalizing flows, yielding an expressive implicit process prior that captures complex, non-stationary transition dynamics.<n>Our ETGPSSM outperforms existing GPSSMs and neural network-based SSMs in terms of computational efficiency and accuracy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-24T03:19:45Z) - DA-LSTM: A Dynamic Drift-Adaptive Learning Framework for Interval Load
Forecasting with LSTM Networks [1.3342521220589318]
A drift magnitude threshold should be defined to design change detection methods to identify drifts.
We propose a dynamic drift-adaptive Long Short-Term Memory (DA-LSTM) framework that can improve the performance of load forecasting models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-15T16:26:03Z) - MINN: Learning the dynamics of differential-algebraic equations and application to battery modeling [2.1303885995425635]
We propose a novel machine learning architecture, termed model-integrated neural networks (MINN)<n>MINN learns the physics-based dynamics of general autonomous or non-autonomous systems consisting of partial differential-algebraic equations (PDAEs)<n>We apply the proposed neural network architecture to model the electrochemical dynamics of lithium-ion batteries.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-27T09:11:40Z) - Physics-Inspired Temporal Learning of Quadrotor Dynamics for Accurate
Model Predictive Trajectory Tracking [76.27433308688592]
Accurately modeling quadrotor's system dynamics is critical for guaranteeing agile, safe, and stable navigation.
We present a novel Physics-Inspired Temporal Convolutional Network (PI-TCN) approach to learning quadrotor's system dynamics purely from robot experience.
Our approach combines the expressive power of sparse temporal convolutions and dense feed-forward connections to make accurate system predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-07T13:51:35Z) - Supervised DKRC with Images for Offline System Identification [77.34726150561087]
Modern dynamical systems are becoming increasingly non-linear and complex.
There is a need for a framework to model these systems in a compact and comprehensive representation for prediction and control.
Our approach learns these basis functions using a supervised learning approach.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-09-06T04:39:06Z) - Trajectory-wise Multiple Choice Learning for Dynamics Generalization in
Reinforcement Learning [137.39196753245105]
We present a new model-based reinforcement learning algorithm that learns a multi-headed dynamics model for dynamics generalization.
We incorporate context learning, which encodes dynamics-specific information from past experiences into the context latent vector.
Our method exhibits superior zero-shot generalization performance across a variety of control tasks, compared to state-of-the-art RL methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-26T03:20:42Z) - Stochastically forced ensemble dynamic mode decomposition for
forecasting and analysis of near-periodic systems [65.44033635330604]
We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system.
We show that its use of intrinsic linear dynamics offers a number of desirable properties in terms of interpretability and parsimony.
Results are presented for a test case using load data from an electrical grid.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-08T20:25:52Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.