Spatially-constrained clustering of geospatial features for heat vulnerability assessment of favelas in Rio de Janeiro
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.26133v1
- Date: Tue, 28 Apr 2026 21:45:22 GMT
- Title: Spatially-constrained clustering of geospatial features for heat vulnerability assessment of favelas in Rio de Janeiro
- Abstract summary: We develop a data-driven framework to assess heat vulnerability in Rio de Janeiro's favelas.<n>We identify two distinct favela typologies: recent, well-connected settlements on flat terrain and historical, poorly-connected communities on vegetated slopes.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Informal settlements face disproportionate exposure to climate-related health hazards. However, existing methodologies lack systematic approaches to link diverse settlement characteristics with environmental health outcomes. We develop a data-driven framework to assess heat vulnerability in Rio de Janeiro's favelas by combining spatially-constrained clustering with land surface temperature (LST) analysis. Using remote sensing and geospatial features, we identify two distinct favela typologies: recent, well-connected settlements on flat terrain (Cluster 0) and historical, poorly-connected communities on vegetated slopes (Cluster 1). Analysis of 16 extreme heat events reveals systematic temperature differences of 2--3$^\circ$C between clusters, with flat-terrain favelas experiencing significantly higher heat exposure. Our findings demonstrate that settlement morphology critically influences heat vulnerability, providing a replicable framework for targeted urban planning and public health interventions in informal settlements globally.
Related papers
- Predicting Pseudo-nitzschia harmful algal blooms along the Portuguese Coast using satellite-derived predictors [69.38367341895632]
Pseudo-nitzschia diatoms pose recurrent risks to coastal ecosystems and harvesting along the Portuguese Atlantic coast.<n>We develop and evaluate a machine-learning framework to predict harmful algal bloom occurrence using exclusively satellite-derived predictors.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-07-08T18:14:24Z) - Beyond Land Surface Temperature: Explainable Spatial Machine Learning Reveals Urban Morphology Effects on Human-Centric Heat Stress [5.042547888397054]
Most planning-oriented studies rely on land surface temperature (LST), and whether LST adequately represents human heat exposure and how it differs from physiologically relevant heat stress remains insufficiently examined.<n>Here, adopting Landsat-retrieved 30-m LST and GPU-accelerated 1-m universal thermal climate index (UTCI) in Singapore, this study establishes a comprehensive "Modeling-Comparing-Assessing" framework to systematically evaluate the spatial and mechanistic discrepancies between the two metrics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-24T10:48:38Z) - Spatial Heterogeneity in Climate Risk and Human Flourishing: An Exploration with Generative AI [0.0]
This study develops a spatial framework to examine how cumulative climate risk relates to multidimensional human flourishing across U.S. counties.<n>High-resolution climate hazard indicators are integrated with a Human Flourishing Geographic Index (HFGI), an index derived from classification of 2.6 billion geotagged tweets.<n>These indicators are aggregated to the US county-level and mapped to a structural equation model to infer overall climate risk and human flourishing dimensions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-26T23:35:45Z) - Detection and Simulation of Urban Heat Islands Using a Fine-Tuned Geospatial Foundation Model for Microclimate Impact Prediction [6.709665033492011]
Geospatial foundation models trained on global unstructured data offer a promising alternative.<n>In this study, an empirical ground truth of urban heat patterns is established.<n>Results indicate that foundation models offer a powerful way for evaluating urban heat island mitigation strategies.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-21T16:21:15Z) - Planning for Cooler Cities: A Multimodal AI Framework for Predicting and Mitigating Urban Heat Stress through Urban Landscape Transformation [5.5253906228458955]
GSM-UTCI is a multimodal deep learning framework designed to predict daytime average Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) at 1-meter hyperlocal resolution.<n>It achieves near-physical accuracy, with an R2 of 0.9151 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.41degC, while reducing inference time from hours to under five minutes for an entire city.<n>Results show spatially heterogeneous but consistently strong cooling effects, with impervious-to-tree conversion producing the highest aggregated benefit.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-30T18:05:43Z) - MambaDS: Near-Surface Meteorological Field Downscaling with Topography Constrained Selective State Space Modeling [68.69647625472464]
Downscaling, a crucial task in meteorological forecasting, enables the reconstruction of high-resolution meteorological states for target regions.
Previous downscaling methods lacked tailored designs for meteorology and encountered structural limitations.
We propose a novel model called MambaDS, which enhances the utilization of multivariable correlations and topography information.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-08-20T13:45:49Z) - Space-aware Socioeconomic Indicator Inference with Heterogeneous Graphs [46.52719756897067]
We present GeoHG, the first space-aware socioeconomic indicator inference method that utilizes a heterogeneous graph-based structure to represent geospace for non-continuous inference.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-23T03:19:02Z) - Multi-scale Digital Twin: Developing a fast and physics-informed
surrogate model for groundwater contamination with uncertain climate models [53.44486283038738]
Climate change exacerbates the long-term soil management problem of groundwater contamination.
We develop a physics-informed machine learning surrogate model using U-Net enhanced Fourier Neural Contaminated (PDENO)
In parallel, we develop a convolutional autoencoder combined with climate data to reduce the dimensionality of climatic region similarities across the United States.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-20T06:46:35Z) - Spatiotemporal modeling of European paleoclimate using doubly sparse
Gaussian processes [61.31361524229248]
We build on recent scale sparsetemporal GPs to reduce the computational burden.
We successfully employ such a doubly sparse GP to construct a probabilistic model of paleoclimate.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-15T14:15:04Z) - Deep generative model super-resolves spatially correlated multiregional
climate data [5.678539713361703]
We show an adversarial network-based machine learning enables us to correctly reconstruct the inter-regional spatial correlations in downscaling.
The proposed method has a potential application to the inter-regionally consistent assessment of the climate change impact.
We present the outcomes of another variant of the deep generative model-based downscaling approach in which the low-resolution precipitation field is substituted with the pressure field.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-26T05:45:16Z) - From Static to Dynamic Prediction: Wildfire Risk Assessment Based on
Multiple Environmental Factors [69.9674326582747]
Wildfire is one of the biggest disasters that frequently occurs on the west coast of the United States.
We propose static and dynamic prediction models to analyze and assess the areas with high wildfire risks in California.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-14T17:56:17Z) - Dynamical Landscape and Multistability of a Climate Model [64.467612647225]
We find a third intermediate stable state in one of the two climate models we consider.
The combination of our approaches allows to identify how the negative feedback of ocean heat transport and entropy production drastically change the topography of Earth's climate.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-20T15:31:38Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.