A data-driven Fourier-mixture neural-network method for density estimation
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2605.18019v1
- Date: Mon, 18 May 2026 08:11:24 GMT
- Title: A data-driven Fourier-mixture neural-network method for density estimation
- Abstract summary: We propose a data-driven neural-network method for estimating fixed-horizon probability densities from empirical characteristic-function (CF) information.<n>The method is trained against an empirical CF constructed from i.i.d. samples.<n>Experiments show clear gains on heavy-tailed targets, $L$ error decay consistent with the theory, and effective estimation of one-year Australian equity return law from resampled dependent data.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: We propose a data-driven Fourier-trained neural-network method for estimating fixed-horizon probability densities from empirical characteristic-function (CF) information. The estimator is a positive Gaussian--Laplace mixture with closed-form CF, so training can be performed directly in Fourier space while preserving nonnegativity and unit mass. We consider two sampling settings. In the direct i.i.d. sampling setting, the method is trained against an empirical CF constructed from i.i.d. samples. In the resampling-based pseudo-sampling setting, it is trained against an empirical pseudo-CF constructed from dependent data by resampling. For the direct i.i.d. case, we derive an expected $L_2$ error bound that separates Fourier truncation, empirical training error, discretization, and CF sampling error. For the pseudo-sampling case, we obtain a conditional analogue with two additional pseudo-law discrepancy terms. We develop a multidimensional extension of the framework and analyze its computational complexity. Numerical experiments show competitive performance relative to Expectation--Maximization on Gaussian-mixture benchmarks, clear gains on heavy-tailed targets, $L_2$ error decay consistent with the theory in a well-specified setting, and effective estimation of one-year Australian equity return law from resampled dependent data.
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