T2S-MPC: Time-Embedded Online Adaptive Model Predictive Control for Time-Varying Dynamics
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2605.24852v1
- Date: Sun, 24 May 2026 04:00:52 GMT
- Title: T2S-MPC: Time-Embedded Online Adaptive Model Predictive Control for Time-Varying Dynamics
- Abstract summary: We propose T2S-MPC, a framework that adaptively learns a residual dynamics model online and integrates it with the nominal model within the MPC framework.<n>We evaluate the proposed method on a 2D quadrotor across stabilization and trajectory tracking tasks under diverse time-varying disturbances.<n> Experimental results show that T2S-MPC consistently outperforms classical MPC, neural MPC, and ablated variants in control performance.
- Score: 13.470078340745808
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Recent advances in learning-based model predictive control (MPC) have leveraged neural networks for online model learning, achieving strong performance when nonstationary system dynamics deviate from nominal models. However, existing approaches primarily address specific or relatively structured forms of dynamical variation, leaving more general, unknown, and unpredictable time-varying dynamics insufficiently handled. To tackle this challenge, we propose T2S-MPC, a framework that adaptively learns a residual dynamics model online and integrates it with the nominal model within the MPC framework to enable fast-evolving online planning. To make the model time-aware, we explicitly encode temporal information through a structured time embedding and employ a two-timescale update scheme, allowing the controller to capture nonstationary dynamics while balancing rapid adaptation with stable learning. We evaluate the proposed method on a 2D quadrotor across stabilization and trajectory tracking tasks under diverse time-varying disturbances, including linear drifting and periodic perturbations. Experimental results show that T2S-MPC consistently outperforms classical MPC, neural MPC, and ablated variants in control performance, while also demonstrating strong robustness across a wide range of disturbance conditions without additional tuning. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/Zeyuu0920/T2S_MPC
Related papers
- LeapTS: Rethinking Time Series Forecasting as Adaptive Multi-Horizon Scheduling [74.94985663101906]
We present LeapTS, a novel framework that reformulates time series forecasting as a dynamic scheduling process over the prediction horizon.<n>We show that LeapTS improves overall forecasting performance by at least 7.4% while achieving a 2.6$times$ to 5.3$times$ inference speedup over representative Transformer-based models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-11T09:54:02Z) - Bilinear Mamba-Koopman Neural MPC for Varying Dynamics [0.0]
We propose Bilinear Mamba-Koopman Neural MPC, a minimal extension that introduces control-dependent coupling in the latent dynamics.<n>We show that control-dependent latent dynamics provide a simple and effective mechanism for robust MPC under varying conditions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-06T11:44:43Z) - Drift-Aware Online Dynamic Learning for Nonstationary Multivariate Time Series: Application to Sintering Quality Prediction [8.77587871192859]
A Drift-Aware Multi-Scale Dynamic Learning (DA-MSDL) framework is proposed to maintain robust multi-temporal predictive performance.<n>The proposed framework provides an effective online dynamic learning paradigm for quality monitoring in nonstationary environments.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-10T14:30:57Z) - Model-Based Reinforcement Learning for Control under Time-Varying Dynamics [40.96573079787976]
We study reinforcement learning for control under time-varying dynamics.<n>We propose a practical optimistic model-based reinforcement learning algorithm with adaptive data buffer mechanisms.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-02T16:52:59Z) - Trajectory Flow Matching with Applications to Clinical Time Series Modeling [77.58277281319253]
Trajectory Flow Matching (TFM) trains a Neural SDE in a simulation-free manner, bypassing backpropagation through the dynamics.<n>We demonstrate improved performance on three clinical time series datasets in terms of absolute performance and uncertainty prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-28T15:54:50Z) - Amortized Control of Continuous State Space Feynman-Kac Model for Irregular Time Series [14.400596021890863]
Many real-world datasets, such as healthcare, climate, and economics, are often collected as irregular time series.<n>We propose the Amortized Control of continuous State Space Model (ACSSM) for continuous dynamical modeling of time series.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-08T01:27:46Z) - Stabilizing Machine Learning Prediction of Dynamics: Noise and
Noise-inspired Regularization [58.720142291102135]
Recent has shown that machine learning (ML) models can be trained to accurately forecast the dynamics of chaotic dynamical systems.
In the absence of mitigating techniques, this technique can result in artificially rapid error growth, leading to inaccurate predictions and/or climate instability.
We introduce Linearized Multi-Noise Training (LMNT), a regularization technique that deterministically approximates the effect of many small, independent noise realizations added to the model input during training.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-09T23:40:52Z) - Active Learning of Discrete-Time Dynamics for Uncertainty-Aware Model Predictive Control [46.81433026280051]
We present a self-supervised learning approach that actively models the dynamics of nonlinear robotic systems.
Our approach showcases high resilience and generalization capabilities by consistently adapting to unseen flight conditions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-23T00:45:05Z) - Real-time Neural-MPC: Deep Learning Model Predictive Control for
Quadrotors and Agile Robotic Platforms [59.03426963238452]
We present Real-time Neural MPC, a framework to efficiently integrate large, complex neural network architectures as dynamics models within a model-predictive control pipeline.
We show the feasibility of our framework on real-world problems by reducing the positional tracking error by up to 82% when compared to state-of-the-art MPC approaches without neural network dynamics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-03-15T09:38:15Z) - Role of stochastic noise and generalization error in the time
propagation of neural-network quantum states [0.0]
Neural-network quantum states (NQS) have been shown to be a suitable variational ansatz to simulate out-of-equilibrium dynamics.
We show that stable and accurate time propagation can be achieved in regimes of sufficiently regularized variational dynamics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-05-03T17:55:09Z) - Anomaly Detection of Time Series with Smoothness-Inducing Sequential
Variational Auto-Encoder [59.69303945834122]
We present a Smoothness-Inducing Sequential Variational Auto-Encoder (SISVAE) model for robust estimation and anomaly detection of time series.
Our model parameterizes mean and variance for each time-stamp with flexible neural networks.
We show the effectiveness of our model on both synthetic datasets and public real-world benchmarks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-02T06:15:15Z) - Online Reinforcement Learning Control by Direct Heuristic Dynamic
Programming: from Time-Driven to Event-Driven [80.94390916562179]
Time-driven learning refers to the machine learning method that updates parameters in a prediction model continuously as new data arrives.
It is desirable to prevent the time-driven dHDP from updating due to insignificant system event such as noise.
We show how the event-driven dHDP algorithm works in comparison to the original time-driven dHDP.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-16T05:51:25Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.